NFL Week 6 Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 6 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Carolina @ Atlanta (-4, O/U 50)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact had this open at 5.5 and took sharp money on Carolina all the way down to 4. Once he hit 4 he saw some buyback on Atlanta and this number settled at 4.5 come press time. The total has been quiet at 51 at his shop all week. After speaking with my local bookie source here in NYC he opened this at 5 and clear sharp support on Carolina drove this line down to 4. Total opened at 51 and has been bet down a half a tick to 50.5.

San Francisco @ Detroit (-4.5, O/U 46)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact saw some early head fake $$ which is when sharps move a line to get a better number. He saw head fake money on Detroit-5 opener all the way up to -6. Sharps came over the top buying back on San Francisco driving this number all the way down to 4.5. Here on the east coast with my under ground book sources it’s been at 4.5 all week. My local contact told me he felt offshore books were opening this number too high. The total has been quiet at 46.

Indianapolis @ Cincinnati (-7, O/U 40.5)
My Las Vegas oddsmaker source told me all is quiet on the side at the key number of 7 but he did see sharp support on the Over driving the opener of 39 up to 40.5 currently. Here in New York my local book contact sent out a test line of 41 last Sunday to his professional betting big money clients. He said that is where the line should’ve opened at but sharps bet under that number. He released the line to all his clients at 39 and also saw clear Over support up to 40.5. No movement on the side.

Philadelphia @ Washington (+1, O/U 47.5)
My Vegas contact opened this at Washington-1 and it has flip flopped between Washington-1, a PK’m, and Philly-1 all week. He is currently at a PK.
Here in NY this opened at a PK and initially went to Washington-1 but since then it’s been all Philly support and we’re at Philly-1 with adjusted -120 vig. Total bet down off the key # of 48 down a tick to 47.5 at all shops.

Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh (-12, O/U 40)
My Vegas oddsmaker source opened this at the key # of 13 and saw sharp love on the dog and adjusted to 12.5 where the love stopped. Total has been quiet at 39.5. Here in NYC it’s been a little bit clearer support coming in on the dog. It opened at 13 and was bet all the way down to 12. The Total has been bet up half a tick from 39.5 to 40.

St.Louis @ Green Bay (-15, O/U 47.5)
All is quiet on this game and not much to report besides here in NY the total dropped down a half of tick from 48 to 47.5.

Buffalo @ NY Giants (-3, O/U 50)
My Vegas oddsmaker source said all is quiet on this game. He actually opened the Giants-3.5 in this spot and said he hasn’t seen sharps come in on the dog to make the move to take the hook at 3.5. If sharps liked it they would’ve taken it in a heartbeat he said. Here in New York it’s at Giants-3 with adjusted -120 vigorish to bet the favorite. All is quiet on the total.

Cleveland @ Oakland (-7, OU 44.5)
My Vegas oddsmaker source told me clear sharp sentiment came in on the dog as this was bet from the opener of 7 down to 6. Here in New York we seen it open at 7 and was bet down as low as 5.5 but has been bet back up to 7 with late Money coming in on Oakland under the key # of 7. Total was quiet everywhere

Houston @ Baltimore (-7.5, O/U 45)
My Las Vegas contact has this line at the key numbers of 7 and 45 with no movement so far. Here in New York due to the uncertainty of Andre Johnson and sharp movements this line has been all over the place. We’ve seen it as low as Baltimore -6.5 and high as Baltimore -9 for about a day. It has currently settled at Baltimore -7.5. and the total was bet down a half of tick from 45.5 to the key number of 45.

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay (+4.5, O/U 49)
My Vegas oddsmaker source opened this at 5 and saw a little sharp money on the home dog and was bet down to 4.5 with the total quiet. Here in New York all is quiet on this game at 4.5 and 49. It’s interesting that old school guys didn’t hop on Tampa Bay with aggression. They usually love divisional home dogs. We’ll see what happens through the weekend. Some guys I spoke with respect New Orleans that much.

Dallas @ New England (-7, O/U 55)
My Vegas oddsmaker source saw sharp money come in on Dallas at 7.5 when he opened this. He adjusted to 7 and the love stopped. The total was bet up from 54 to 54.5 at his shop. Here in New York the test line sent out was -7 and my local source told me he took big sharp money on the Patriots. He took so much sharp money that he re-opened it at 9. That test line money was head fake he said because when he released the line to all his clients he saw clear sharp move on the Cowboys at 9 all the way down to 7 where the love stopped. Clear sharp support for the Over as the total has been bet up from 53 to 55.

Minnesota @ Chicago (-3, O/U 41.5)
My Vegas oddsmaker source told me he opened this at Bears-4 and saw clear sharp support on the dog moving this down to 3. The total opened up at 44 and said he saw a clear sharp move on the Under all the way down to 42. My New York bookie source protected himself opening this at 3 because he expected sharp money on the Vikings here if he opened this higher than 3. All is quiet at the key # of 3 on the side all week but he has taken a clear sharp move on the Under from the opener of 42.5 down to 41.5.

Miami @ NY Jets (-7.5, O/U 43)
My Vegas oddsmaker source told me he opened this up at 8 and took initial dog money and moved down to 7.5 where the love stopped. Sharps bet this one Over as he has been driven up to 43 from the opener of 42. This opened at 9 here in New York with a clear move on the dog all the way down to 7. The over was an early move as this was bet up from 41 to 42.5

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one this year in the NFL. I’ve been red hot with a 13-6-1 (67%) record this year with over 25.3* units of profit netted! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side come Sunday to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this Sunday and Monday night as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

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