NFL Week 16 Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 16 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Houston @ Indianapolis (-6.5, O/U 40.5)
My Vegas contact opened this at 6 and the vig has adjusted up to -120 to bet Houston with heavy public action coming on the Texans. The total dipped down half of point from the 40.5 opener to 40. Here in the NYC underground scene this opened at 6.5 hit 6 for awhile and is back up to 6.5 come press time. Total is quiet at 40.5. Both shops said the Texans are very popular in teasers and parlays from recreational bettors.

Miami @ New England (-10, O/U 48)
My Las Vegas contact opened this at 10.5 and sharps took a little interest in Miami betting this down to 10 where the love stopped. Nothing to report on the total. According to my local NYC bookie source this opened at 10 and was bet down to 9.5 with a little support coming in for the dog forcing the move off the key # of 10. The under has been the popular move betting this down to 48.5 from the 49.5 opener since New England is prone to bad weather they rather get the jump on the betting public and can always buy off come game day if the weather looks good.

Cleveland @ Baltimore (-13, O/U 39)
Out on the Vegas scene this opened 13.5 and sharps took the hook moving this down to 13 where the love stopped. The total has been quiet. Same exact story here in New York.

Arizona @ Cincinnati (-4, O/U 40.5)
Nothing to report from the desert on this game. In the city this opened at 4.5 and sharps took the hook moving this down to 4 where the love stopped. The total has been bet down half of tick from 41 to 40.5.

Minnesota @ Washington (-6.5, O/U 44)
According to my Las Vegas contact this opened at 6 and has moved up to 6.5 at his shop with no movement on the total to report. Same exact story here on the east coast.

Denver @ Buffalo (+2.5, O/U 41.5)
My Las Vegas oddsmaker source opened this at 3 and came off the key # with support coming in for the home dog. Buffalo is prone to bad weather this time of year and sharps took the under moving this down to 41.5 from the 42.5 opener. Here in the local NYC scene Buffalo opened 3.5 and sharps extracted it moving it cross the key # of 3 to 2.5. The total has been down from the 42 opener a half of tick to 41.5.

St.Louis @ Pittsburgh (-16, O/U 37.5)
According to my Vegas bookmaker he opened this at 14.5 saw the number get as high as 16 before seeing buy back on the dog driving this back down to 14. The total has been bet down a half of tick from the 37 opener to 36.5. This game isn’t on the board right now at my local NYC sources shop.

NY Giants @ NY Jets (-3, O/U 45.5)
No movement on the side to report from the desert but the total was bet down half a tick from the 46 opener to 45.5. Nothing to report on the side here in the local NYC underground scene either. The total was bet down from 46.5 opener to 45.5 with support for the under. Same story as other cities prone to inclement weather.

Tampa Bay @ Carolina (-9, O/U 47.5)
No early movement to report on the side or total from Vegas in this game. This opened at 7 in the local NYC market and moved up to 7.5. The total opened at 48 and has been bet down a half of tick 47.5. Expect the Panthers to be a popular bet in teasers and that’s why you are seeing other shops at 9 to protect themselves.

Jacksonville @ Tennessee (-7.5, O/U 40)
Out on the Vegas strip this opened at 9 and was bet down to 7.5 with support coming in on the dog here. The total has been quiet at 40. The dog caught the interest of sharps here on the NYC scene as well betting this down to 7.5 off the opener of 9. The total was bet down from 41 to 40 with support on the under.

Oakland @ Kansas City (-2.5, O/U 42)
My Las Vegas contact opened Kansas City -2 and hit as low as -1 before settling back at -2 come press time. The total has fluctuated from 42 and 41.5 all week. According to local bookie sources this opened at -1 and was bet up to Kansas City -2.5. The total opened at 43 and was bet down to 41.5 with support for the under.

San Diego @ Detroit (-2.5, O/U 52)
Out on the Vegas strip this opened at 3 and early support came in on the dog moving this off the key # of 3 down to 2.5. The total has been bet up from the opener of 51 to 52.No movement to report on the side at 2.5 here in the local NYC market but the total has seen over love being bet up from the opener of 50 to 52.

Philadelphia @ Dallas (-1, O/U 50.5)
This opened at 3 in the desert and sharp support came in on the dog moving this off the key of 3 down to 2. The total has been bet down a half of tick from 51 to 50.5. Here in NYC according to my local bookie source the sharp money flew in on the dog when this opened at 3 moving this down to 1 with the same exact story on the total being bet down half a tick.

San Francisco @ Seattle (+1, O/U 38)
My Las Vegas bookmaker opened this at 1.5 and has adjusted the number up to 2.5 with the total being bet up half a tick from the 37.5 opener to 38. Different story here on the east coast with a strong move coming in on the home dog here. Remember old school guys love divisional home dogs. This opened at 3 and was bet down to 1. The total is quiet on the key # of 38.

Chicago @ Green Bay (-13, O/U 44)
The side is quiet according to my Las Vegas oddsmaker contact but no the total. He opened this at 46.5 and saw strong sharp sentiment on the under moving this down to 44.5. Remember Green Bay is another city prone to bad weather this time of year. So you see the pattern of how sharps work with totals this time of year in bad weather cities. It’s an auto under bet when the line opens and they can always buy off come gameday. Nothing to report on this game in the local NYC scene.

Atlanta @ New Orleans (-7, O/U 53)
This opened at 7 in the desert and was bet down to 6.5 with nothing to report on the total. Nothing to report on the side here in the local NYC marketplace but the total was bet down from the opener of 53.5 to 52.5 with support coming in on the Under.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one this year in the NFL as one of the hottest NFL handicappers in America. I have a (57%) record this year! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side come Sunday to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this Sunday and Monday night as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

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