NFL Week 15 Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 15 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Jacksonville @ Atlanta (-12, O/U 42.5)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this at 11.5 and dipped down to 11 before this line getting as high as 12 come press time. He opened the total at 42 and initially was bet down to 41.5 before settling at 42.5 come press time. My NY local bookie source opened this up at 11 and is up to 12.5. The total opened at 43 and hit as low as 42 before settling at 42.5 come press time. Falcons definitely pose a threat in teasers here and books will adjust accordingly.

Dallas @ Tampa Bay (+7, O/U 47)
My Vegas bookmaker source said all is quiet on the side and total at 7 and 47 come press time. Here on the local underground scene the Cowboys opened laying 6 and are now 7 point favorites. The total opened at 46 and has been bet up to 47. Cowboys are another team posing a threat in the teaser window for books.

Cincinnati @ St.Louis (+6, O/U 40)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this at 3.5 and took strong support on the Bengals currently moving this all way up to 6.5. He confirmed the total saw Over support being bet up from 38 to 39. Here in the local underground NYC scene the side is quiet at 6 but the total has jumped up from the 38.5 opener to 40 with support on .the Over. Bengals will be a headache in teasers

Miami @ Buffalo
No line press time. **note my Vegas oddsmaker contact did take a shot opening this up at Miami-1.5 and is down to a PK taking bets with limits on this game**

Washington @ NY Giants (-6.5, O/U 46.5)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact said all is quiet on the side at his shop but the early sharp support came in on the Over betting this up to 46 from the 44.5 opener. My local bookie contact opened this at 7 and has been forced to move this off the key # and is now at 6.5. The total has been bet up from 45 to 46 with Over support. Giants will be a headache in teasers.

Tennessee @ Indianapolis (+6.5, O/U 41)
My Las Vegas contact said he had nothing to report early on the side or total in this game. Here on the NYC scene this opened up at 6.5 and hit 7 for a short time which didn’t stick around long and we’re back down to 6.5 come press time. The total is dead at 41. Titans will be popular in teasers causing a headache.

Seattle @ Chicago (-4, O/U 36)
My Vegas oddsmaker source opened this at 4.5 and took support on the dog or maybe it was just anti-Chicago money he said. He’s down to 3.5 with the total getting no early movement. According to my local contact he said all is quiet at 4 and 35.5 on the side and total with no early movement to report.

Green Bay @ Kansas City (+13.5, O/U 46)
Out in Vegas my connection opened this at 13.5 and has adjusted up to the key # of 14. The total was bet up half a tick from the 45.5 opener to 46. Here in the local NYC underground scene this # has been fluctuating between 13.5 and 14 all week. The total is quiet at 46.

Carolina @ Houston (-6.5 ,O/U 45)
On the Vegas strip my Vegas contact opened this up at 6 and moved the Texans up to 6.5 come press time. The total is quiet at 45.5. My local bookie contact said all is quiet at 6.5 with the side but the total saw under support being bet down to 45 from the 47 opener. The Texans will be in a lot of public teasers posing a threat.

New Orleans @ Minnesota (+6.5, O/U 51)
My Vegas oddsmaker source opened this at 7.5 and took some sharp support for the home dog moving this down to 6.5. He said he’s also seen some Over love moving this from 50 to 51. According to my local bookie contact this opened at 7 at his shop and was bet down to 6.5 and the total was bet up to 51 from the 50 opener with dog and over support early. The Saints will be in a lot of public teasers posing a threat.

Detroit @ Oakland (+1, O/U 48)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this up at a PK and is up to Detroit-1 . He said the total has been bet down a half of tick from the 48 opener to 47.5. Here in NYC my local bookie source opened this with Oakland-1 and support came in on Detroit and both teams reversed favorite and underdog roles with the Lions laying 1 now. The total opened at 49 and has been bet down to 47 with support for the Under.

Cleveland @ Arizona (-7, O/U 37)
Nothing to report from the desert on this game early in the week. Here in the Big Apple the only move to report is the total was bet down a half of tick from 37.5 to 37

NY Jets @ Philadelphia (-3, O/U 44)
Out in Vegas my source opened this at 2.5 and has been up to 3 on the side and the total opened at 44.5 and was bet down half of tick to 44. The side opened at 1.5 here in NYC and we’re up to 3 come press time. The total opened at 45 and was bet down to 44. with some support coming in on the Under.

New England @ Denver (+6, O/U 46)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this up at 6 and is now up to Patriots laying 6 with adjusted -120 vig. He said he this is one of the more interesting games on the card come Sunday and expects heavy volume. The total has been bet up half of tick from the 45.5 opener to 46. Here on the local NYC scene this opened at 4 and quick support came in on the Patriots moving them up to 6. The total opened up at 46.5 and hit as low as 45.5 and settled back at 46 come press time. The Patriots will be a headache for books in a lot of public teasers.

Baltimore @ San Diego (+1, O/U 44)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this at 1.5 and is up to 2.5 come press time. The total saw some Over support being bet up to 44.5 from the 43.5 opener. Totally different story here in the NYC underground scene. This opened at 1.5 and has been bet down to 1 with support coming in on the dog. The total was bet down half a tick from the 44.5 opener to 44.

Pittsburgh @ San Francisco
No line come press time. ** note both contacts of mine opened this around SF-1 with test lines and took support on the Niners with sharps acting fast to grab the Niners under a FG incase Big Ben doesn’t play**

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one this year in the NFL as one of the hottest NFL handicappers in America. I have a (56%) record this year! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side come Sunday to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this Sunday and Monday night as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

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