NFL Week 10 Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 10 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Oakland @ San Diego (-7, O/U 47.5)
My Vegas source opened this up at -6.5 and went to up to -7. The total opened up at 46.5 where he saw support for the Over which landed this on the key # of 48 where the love stopped. Here in NYC at local books it opened at 7 to bet Oakland a -115 vig where it still currently sits. A different story on the total as we saw it open at 48.5 and get bet down to 47.5 at press time.

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis (+3, O/U 38)
My Vegas bookmaker told me that this game will probably be a toss up for the least bet on game Sunday as far as recreational money. Sharps have not got involved with a side or total yet. He said sharps loved the Colts the past couple of weeks but weren’t so trigger happy this go around. Here in New York this game is dead quiet at the key #’s of 3 and 38.

Denver @ Kansas City (-3, O/U 41.5)
My Vegas contact has opened this at Broncos+3.5 -115 vig where it still sits and sharps are not biting. He said that shows sharps don’t love the Broncos in this spot because they would’ve took the hook immediately. He said nothing to report on the total. Here in New York it’s a different story at local underground books. This opened at 4 and sharp money came in on the Broncos driving this all the way down to the key # of 3. Total is dead.

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati (+3, O/U 41.5)
My Las Vegas oddsmaker contact said he opened this line at 3 and -115 vig to bet the Bengals but wiseguys have not got involved yet. He expects books to be rooting for the Bengals come Sunday with plenty of public action on the Steelers. Total has been dead quiet at 41.5 at his shop. Here in New York this opened at 3 with -120 vig to bet the Bengals it is now at +100 vig to bet the Bengals. My local NYC bookie source said he probably will be forced to move the Bengals up to 3.5 on Sunday to hopefully entice some sharp money. The total was bet down a half of tick from 42 to 41.5.

Buffalo @ Dallas (+6, O/U 47.5)
My Las Vegas contact said he has this at 5.5 and has not had to move it off of the “dead” # in between two key #’s of 6 and 7. The total was bet up half a tick from 47.5 to 48 at his shop. According to my local book source here in NYC he told me has seen a little trickle of sharp $ come in on Buffalo has adjusted them to -115 vig. He says he would not be surprised if he is off of the key # of 6 soon. Total dead quiet at 47.5.

New Orleans @ Atlanta (-1, O/U 50)
New Orleans opened as a 1 point favorite at my Vegas contacts shop but he did see some sharp support come in on Atlanta and is at a PK now. He thought Atlanta wouldn’t see support unless the # hit 2.5 or 3 but he said guys did step out on Atlanta earlier than expected. The total was bet down to 50 from the 50.5 opener. Here in New York the Falcons opened at +1 normal -110 vig and now are at +1 with adjusted -115 vig. The total has been bet down to 50 from the opener of 51.

Washington @ Miami (-4, O/U 37.5)
My Vegas source told me all is quiet on the side at 3.5 at his shop but he did see some love on the Over as he was bet up to the key # of 38 from the opener of 37. Here in NYC my local source confirmed he opened this at 4.5 and saw immediate sharp support on the dog moving down to 3.5. At 3.5 things changed and he is back up to 4. He said he thinks it closes at 4.5 come Sunday where sharps may take the dog again. He said the total opened at 38.5 hit as low as 37 and has settled at 37.5 come press time.

Houston @ Tampa Bay (+3.5, O/U 45.5)
My Las Vegas contact is dead quiet on the key # of 3 on the side and moved the total up a half of tick from 45 to 45.5. Here on the local NYC underground scene Tampa Bay opened at 3.5 normal -110 vig saw some sharp love for he dog and is now 3.5 at -125 vig. My local source said he wouldn’t be surprised to hit 3 soon and go back up to 3.5 on Sunday with public support on Houston. The total was bet down from 46 to 45.5.

Tennessee @ Carolina (-3.5, O/U 46)
My Vegas source told me he opened this up at 3 and went up to 3.5 where he saw sharps come in on the Titans at 3.5. He is now back to 3 where it opened with adjusted -120 vig to bet Carolina. The total was bet up a half of tick from 45.5 to 46 at his shop. Here in New York it’s been quiet at 3.5 according to my local bookie source. He tells me sharps haven’t bit on the hook out here. He’s seen support for the Over being bet from the 45 opener to 46.

St. Louis @ Cleveland (-2.5, O/U 37.5)
According to my Vegas oddsmaker source this game will be the other toss up as an ugly game that recreational bettors will not be getting involved with. All is quiet as his shop so far with this game. Here in New York the Browns opened at -1 and have been bet up to -3 already with sharp support for the home team. Total has been dead.

Baltimore @ Seattle (+7, O/U 41)
Vegas oddsmaker source said he did take some sharp support on the Seahawks here at 7 when this line opened and he is down to 6.5. Support came in on the Over as this was bet up from 39.5 to 40.5. Here in New York according to a local I deal with he took sharp money on the Seahawks at 7 when it opened and also saw support for the Over being bet up from 39.5 to 41.

Detroit @ Chicago (-3, O/U 45)
Vegas oddsmaker source opened this at -1 and is now up to -2.5 come press time. He suspects it maybe head fake money and sharps may plan to buy back on the Lions at 3. Total is quiet. Here in NYC at local books this opened at 3 with -125 adjusted vig to bet on the Lions with no early movement to report. The total has been quiet.

NY Giants @ San Francisco (-3.5, O/U 42.5)
My Vegas oddsmaker source said he’s been quiet with this line at 3.5. The total opened at 43 and saw support on the under as it was bet down to 42. According to my local NYC source all is quiet on side and total early in the week. Of course that is definitely subject to change as the week rolls on.

New England @ NY Jets (-1, O/U 47.5)
My Vegas contact opened this at Jets-1 and is up to Jets-1.5. He expects sharps on the Jets and squares on the Patriots in this game here come Sunday night. The total was bet down half a tick to 47.5 from the 48 opener. Here in New York we’re starting to see some sharp support come in on the Jets according to my local source. Also the Under saw a clear sharp move being bet down from the 48.5 through the key # of 48 to 47.5 where we are come press time.

Minnesota @ Green Bay (-13.5, O/U 50.5)
This opened at 14 at my Vegas oddsmakers shop and he saw a little sharp support for the dog and has adjusted down to 13.5. The total was bet down half a tick from 51.5 to 51. Here in New York my local contact told me he opened at 14 where he saw Vikings support and is now down to 13.5. The total was bet down from 51 to 50.5 with slight support on the Under early.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one this year in the NFL as one of the hottest NFL handicappers in America. I have a 25-16-1 (61%) record this year with 31* units of profit netted! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side come Sunday to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this Sunday and Monday night as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

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