Analyzing Early Week 11 College Football Sharp Moves

In today’s blog we will be talking about some early NCAA Football Week 11 sharp aka professional bettors positions. As you will read sharps like betting early to get the best of the number. I will give you an in-depth look with the help of a friend of mine who works in the local NYC underground betting scene of why sharps are on these sides and which direction the market will push these early moves come game day.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
Arkansas State-5.5 to -7

Strong early sharp move on Arkansas State according to my local bookie contact. He said they really liked them at anything Under 7. Once the line hit 7 the love stopped and he wonders if different outfits may come in on UL-Monroe at +7 but he hasn’t seen it happen yet.

Saturday
Virginia +2 to -1

Strong sharp money move of the week so far as the pros pounded Virginia at +3 and even +2 in some spots. The support was so strong it moved Virginia from a dog to the favorite in this game. He expects recreational bettors on Miami here but said the early sharp volume of money Virginia it will take a lot to move Miami back to a PK or favorite in this game.

Oregon St+6 to +4.5
Sharps thought this line was too high and came in on Oregon State early this week in their match up with Stanford. He told me anticipates the sharp money to keep coming in on the Beavers. He anticipates the line closing at 4 or even south of that.

Arizona St+10 to +9
Sharps are fading USC off a heartbreaking loss to Oregon and taking Arizona State here. My local contact said pubic money will be all over the Trojans and he thinks the line should he 10 again as we approach kick off on Saturday. In the event we do see a 10 again he said likely the pros will take the points again.

Central Florida-12.5 to -14
Sharps took Central Florida at -12.5 and books haven’t been shy to move this up to the key # of 14. He told me laying the 12.5 was the sharp number but love has stopped at 14. He said he isn’t sure if other sharps will buy in or shoot for a middle on the dog if this # keeps on climbing but they’ll have their eyes out for it.

Akron-14.5 to -17
Akron is going to be a “recreational” play but he did say they took a little sharp money early in the week on the favorite and this line moved up to the key # of 17 and the love has stopped. He said at first he was thinking they were setting a play on UMass but he hasn’t seen the sharp money hit the market once the line hit 17. He still thinks the initial move was a headfake.

Fresno State-2.5 to -3.5
Seeing early love for Fresno State this week as the # opened 2.5 and bullied it’s way through the key # of 3 with no resistance thus far.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one in College Football. We’re on a 29-17 (63%) College Football run! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side come Saturday to help utilize my contacts to make us money in the NCAA-FB betting market. Hop on board with me this as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

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