2016 Week 6 NFL Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 1 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometimes it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
Denver @ San Diego

A little move on the Under here in NYC moving my local guy from 45.5 to 44.5. My Vegas guy is reporting two way action on the side. He said he took sharp money on Denver-3 and moved to 3.5 where opposing sharps took the Chargers.

Sunday
Cincinnati @ New England

My NYC guy said a little move to the Over up from 46.5 to 47. My Vegas guy said he moved New England from -8 to -9 with a little sharp interest on the Patriots. My Vegas Oddsmaker source also said his ticket count is pretty lopsided in favor of New England and he needs some Bengals money by Sunday or else he’ll need Cincinnati here.

Pittsburgh @ Miami
Two way sharp action on the side here in NYC. He said he initially took sharp money on Miami at +8 and +7.5. He moved to 7 where opposing sharp money came in on Pittsburgh moving him back to 7.5. His total is down a half of tick from 48 to 47.5. He also said he expects Pittsburgh to be a popular public bet and he likely will be rooting for Miami here. My Vegas contact tells me it’s been a little sharp interest on both sides, he’s bounced back and forth between 8 and 7.5 all week. Nothing major overall though. He did also say he expects heavy public interest on Pittsburgh Sunday and will likely also be rooting for Miami.

Philadelphia @ Washington
My NYC guy says it’s been all public and sharp early money on Philly moving them from a 1.5 point dog to a 2.5 point favorite. Sharps also hit the Under moving him from 46 to 45. He said come Sunday he likely will need Washington here. Not as big of a move to report from Vegas. My guy tells me a little sharp interest in Philly moved them from -1 to -2. He said he expects more balanced money on this one than my NYC guy predicted.

Baltimore @ NY Giants
My NYC guy said the public here in NYC maybe losing a little faith in the Giants but he still expects mostly NY Giants money from local fans. He said he did take a little sharp money on Baltimore +3 but nothing too big. His Total is down a half of tick from 44.5 to 44. Nothing in Vegas to report.

Jacksonville @ Chicago
Here in NYC the early sharp money is on Chicago and the Under. He’s move from -1.5 to -2.5 and down from 47 to 46. Nothing major in Vegas on the side as my Oddsmaker source says he moved from -2 to -2.5. He also confirmed a move on the Under betting him down to 46 from 47.

Carolina @ New Orleans
Some sharp money on the Over here betting my NYC guy up from 52.5 to 53.5. Nothing in Vegas to report.

Los Angeles @ Detroit
Two way sharp action here in NYC. The stronger move is on Los Angeles+3.5. That move forced him down to 3 where he saw a little buy back on Detroit -3. But nothing too big. Nothing to report in Vegas on this one. My Vegas guy did say due to close proximity to Los Angeles he expects a lot of public action on Los Angeles and may need Detroit here come Sunday.

San Francisco @ Buffalo
Nothing major but my NYC guy says a little sharp interest on the 49’ers moved them from +8.5 to +8. Nothing in Vegas to report.

Cleveland @ Tennessee
Two way sharp action in NYC on this one. He said some sharps took Cleveland +7.5 and others laid Tennessee-7. He said the stronger move is on Cleveland though, he has double the sharp money on Cleveland. He said the strongest move was on the Under. Sharps bet him down to 43 from 45. In Vegas my Sin City contact tells me a little sharp interest on the Titans moved him from -6.5 to -7. He also said he took Under money moving him from 45.5 to 44.

Kansas City @ Oakland
Nothing really overwhelming to report in NYC on this side. My local bookie source said he took a little sharp money on both sides. He said on the Total he took a sharp bet from a guy he respects at Over 48.5 and moved to 49. He said after that move opposing sharps hit him on the Under hard, dropping him down to 47. Nothing in Vegas to report on this one.

Atlanta @ Seattle
Here in NYC a little sharp interest on the Seahawks betting them up to -6.5 from -6. He said sharps are split on the Total. one group hit him on the Under at 45.5 which dropped him to 44.5 where opposing sharps took the Over. Nothing to report in Vegas on this one. My Vegas contact did tell me he expects Atlanta to be popular with the betting public this week and likely will be rooting for a Seattle blow out to break up teasers.

Dallas @ Green Bay
A little sharp interest on Green Bay moving them from -4 to -4.5 here in NYC. The Total has two way sharp action. He said he was hit hard on the Over moving him from 46.5 to 48 before seeing resistance come from opposing sharps who took the Under at 48, forcing him to settle at 47.5 as we go live. Nothing in Vegas to report on this game.

Indianapolis @ Houston
Two way sharp action to report on the side here. My NYC guy tells me the stronger move was on the Colts +3.5. He moved down to 3 where he saw a little interest on the Texans -3, but not enough to move off the key number. He said sharps bet him strong on the Over here, moving him from 46 to 48.5. Nothing on the side from Vegas but he did also note a sharp move on the Over from 46 to 48.5. He said he expects the public on the Over here as well and likely will need the Under more than a side on the late game.

Monday
NY Jets @ Arizona

Nothing to report early in the week in NYC on this one. A little early sharp interest on the Cardinals here moving them from -7.5 to -8 early in the week. My Las Vegas bookmaker also tells me he likely will need the Jets here, as he one sided public action on Arizona.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. Over the last 5 years I’ve won 61% of my last 283 NFL bets after a huge 4-1 Sunday last week. It’s good to have a guy like me and the rest of the handicappers here at We Cover Spreads by your side come Sunday. The rest of the crew is ready to go this season in NFL! Hop on board with us this week as we look to exploit the marketplace.You can pick up my plays and the rest of the cappers right here on the site.

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