2016 Week 4 NFL Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 1 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometimes it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
Miami @ Cincinnati

Early sharp interest in NYC on Cincinnati. Enough to move my guy off of the key number of 7 to 7.5. He said his total is up a half of tick from 44.5 to 45. My Vegas guy also confirms a move on the Bengals moving him off of 7 to 7.5.

Sunday
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville

Some early sharp support for the Colts here in NYC moving them from -1.5 to -2.5 My NYC guy says if he does hit 3 he probably would expect some buy back on the dog. My Vegas oddsmaker contact said he’s up from -2 to -2.5 on the side and his total is down from 49.5 to 49 early on.

Carolina @ Atlanta
Nothing to report in either market on this early on.

Tennessee @ Houston
Some early sharp interest on the Titans here in NYC early on this week moving my local bookie source from +6.5 to +5.5 and he said he thinks it’s going to go lower. His total has been bouncing back and forth between 41 and 40.5 all week. My Vegas guy confirms the same thing with sharp support on the Titans here betting him from +7 to +5.5 as we go to press.

Seattle @ NY Jets
My NYC guy has this at Jets +2.5 -125 early on and expects mostly Jets action here from the public so he is likely lowering this number and hoping for some sharp support on Seattle. My Vegas guy said sharps out West hit him on the Under betting this down from 41.5 to 40.5

Detroit @ Chicago
Nothing really on the side here yet but my NYC contact tells me sharps have bet him up from 46 to 47.5 on the Over here. He also noted he expects heavy public support on Detroit and likely will need Chicago here if sharps don’t buy in on the Bears by kickoff. Same exact story in Vegas with Over money from sharps. He also confirmed he will likely need Chicago here on Sunday as well.

Buffalo @ New England
No line at time of blog.

Cleveland @ Washington
Sharps have been showing the Browns some love betting him down from +9.5 to +7.5 in NYC. He said his total is up a half of tick from 45.5 to 46. My Vegas guy tells me he’s seen some sharp interest in the Browns betting him down to +8 from +9, and the Over as well. he’s up form 45.5 to 46.5 as we go to press.

Oakland @ Baltimore
My NYC guy tells me he’s seeing the sharps take Oakland here betting him down from +4 to +3.5. He expects more sharp money on Oakland here and said he wouldn’t be shocked if this down to 3 in the coming days. Some Under money came in as well betting him down from 47.5 to 46.6. My Vegas guy said he’s down from +4 to +3.5 after taking a 5 figure wager on the Raiders from a sharp guy he respects.

Denver @ Tampa Bay
My NYC guy tells me a little sharp interest on the Under here betting him down from 44.5 to 44 as we go to press. He said he expects heavy public interest on Denver here and is hoping for some sharp money on Tampa Bay otherwise he’ll need Tampa Bay here. Same exact story on the Total in Vegas. He also confirmed he’ll likely need Tampa Bay here on Sunday as well.

Los Angeles @ Arizona
Nothing too big but my NYC guy says a little sharp interest on the dog and the Under here. He’s down from +8.5 to +8 and 43.5 to 43. Same story in Vegas. My contact on the strip tells me he’s down from +9 to +8 with Los Angeles support and 43.5 to 43 on the total as well.

New Orleans @ San Diego
Some support has come in on the Chargers here in NYC as my local bookie contact tells me he’s up from -3.5 to -4 on San Diego. Same exact story in Vegas with a move from -3.5 to -4.

Dallas @ San Francisco
The 49ers got the sharp money early on this week in NYC. My guy tells me they must really like the 49’ers here because they didn’t sit and wait for the public who is heavily on Dallas to move this line to 3.5. They took the +3 strong moving him off the key number to 2.5. His Total is down a half of tick from 46.5 to 46. Same story in Vegas as my guy tells me sharps took the 49’ers +3 moving him down to +2.5. He did note at +2.5 the love did stop but didn’t see any buy back on Dallas.

Kansas City @ Pittsburgh
Sharps are split on this game in NYC. My local bookie source tells me he opened this at -5 and took Steelers money moving him up to -6 before an opposing group of sharps came in on Kansas City +6 and forced him to move this back down to 5. Nothing to report from Las Vegas on this one.

Monday
NY Giants @ Minnesota

It’s been all Vikings money in NYC from sharps moving him from -3.5 to -5 and he’s really happy about that because he says the local NYC betting public will likely be all over the Giants here. He said his Total is down from 44 to 43.5. My Vegas guy is reporting a different story on this one. He said one group of sharps is on the Vikings -4 and when he moved to 4.5 he saw another group of sharps take the Giants.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. Over the last 5 years I’ve won 61% of my L/275 NFL bets. It’s good to have a guy like me and the rest of the handicappers here at We Cover Spreads by your side come Sunday. The rest of the crew is ready to go this season in NFL! Hop on board with us this week as we look to exploit the marketplace.You can pick up my plays and the rest of the cappers right here on the site.

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