2016 Week 3 NFL Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 1 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometimes it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Houston @ New England

My NYC guy tells me he opened this at Houston -2.5 and saw sharp support come in for New England. They bet him to Patriots-1 before seeing sharp buy back come in Houston at +1 and pushing him back to Houston-1 as we go to press. His Total has bounced back and forth between 40.5 and 40 all week. In Vegas my oddsmaker source tells me he opened this up at Houston -1 and saw some sharp interest on the Texans push him up to -2 before Patriots money came in pushing him down to a PK. He said it’s basically been a tug of war between sharps on this one and he currently has Houston-1. Sharps bet him Under from 41 to 40.

Washington @ NY Giants
Earlier in the week my NYC source said he saw a little sharp interest on the dog at +4.5 and moved to +4 but he moved himself back up to 4.5 because he knows the local NYC public will be on the Giants here. He did confirm sharp money on the Under, betting him down to 46.5 from a 47.5 opener. My Vegas guy said it’s been a little dog and Under money. He was bet down from +5 to +4.5 on Washington and 46.5 to 46 on the Total.

Cleveland @ Miami

My NYC guy tells me he moved Miami from -8 to -9.5 because the Dolphins were a popular teaser bet early in the week for sharps, and he moved them out of the teaser window. He said sharps like the Under betting him down to 41.5 from a 42.5 opener. Nothing on the side to report from Vegas but my West Coast guy tells me his Total is up a half of tick from 41.5 to 42.

Detroit @ Green Bay
Early sharp sentiment for the Lions here as my NYC guy has been bet down to 7.5 from a 8.5 here and his Total his down a half of tick from 48 to 47.5. He did note that the Lions are a popular public play here too as well and he likely will be dropping to 7 to try to entice some Packers money. In Vegas my guy tells me sharps like the Lions here betting him down from 8 to 7. He did say when he went down to 7 that the sharp love for the Lions did ease up. Same exact move on the Total as in NYC. My Vegas guy had a different outlook here telling me he expects more split action on this from the public than what my NYC guy reported to me.

Arizona @ Buffalo
Nothing much to report in NYC except for a little sharp interest on the dog and Over. He was bet down to 4 from 4.5 and the Total is up from 46.5 to 47. Same exact move on the side in NYC with nothing much to report on the Total from Vegas. Both guys said they expect the Cardinals to be a popular public bet here and likely will need Buffalo.

Minnesota @ Carolina

My NYC guy said sharps liked the Vikings at 7.5 but once he went to 7 he saw no sharp interest on the Vikings. He did note a little buy back on the Panthers -7 but not enough to move off the key number. Same story in Vegas with sharp interest on the Vikings +7.5 but he didn’t see any buy back on the Panthers.

Broncos @ Bengals
Nothing to report in NYC on this one. In Vegas my guy tells me sharps came in on the Bengals here, enough for him to move this off the key number of 3 and up to 3.5 to try to entice some sharp interest on the Broncos.

Baltimore @ Jacksonville

Back and forth here between sharps my NYC guy says. He said he opened this Jaguars +1 and saw some interest on them and moved this to a PK before seeing an opposing sharp crew take Baltimore PK. He currently sits at Baltimore -1. Nothing to report on this one from Vegas.

Oakland @ Tennessee

It’s been all sharp money on the Titans according to my NYC guy. He said they bet the Titans from +1 up to -1.5. He said the Under is also a popular sharp money move betting him down to 46.5 from a 48 opener. Nothing to report in Vegas on this one. MY NYC guy reported that most of his tickets are written on Oakland despite way more money on the Titans.

San Francisco @ Seattle
Sharps in NYC took the dog and the Under. He said they bet him down from +10 to +9.5 and the Total is down to 40.5 from a 42 opener. Same move from 10 to 9.5 in Vegas with nothing to report on the Total. They both did confirm that the public is losing faith in the Seahawks after getting burnt by them two weeks in a row, and both say the majority of their ticket count is on the Niners here.

Los Angeles @ Tampa Bay
Sharps are laying it with the Bucs in NYC betting him up from -4 to -5.5 so far. Not as big of a move in Vegas as my guy is up to -5 from -4.5. My NYC guy says he expects the public to be on the Bucs as well and likely he will need the Rams here. My Vegas didn’t seem too worried about needing either side in this one since Vegas has close proximity to the Los Angeles Rams fanbase and that will balance him out here.

San Diego @ Indianapolis
Nothing to report on the side here but NYC did say that sharps bet the Over a little, moving him up to 51.5 from a 50.5 opener. My Vegas guy report sharp interest on the Chargers here. He took enough sharp Chargers money to move him off of the key number of 3 and down to 2.5 as we go to press.

Pittsburgh @ Philadelphia
Nothing to report in either market in terms of sharp action on this one. Both guys did report to me they expect the Steelers to be big public favorite on Sunday and likely will be rooting for Philly here.

NY Jets @ Kansas City

Sharps in NYC like the Under here betting my guy down to 42.5 from a 43.5 opener. In Vegas my guy opened this at 3.5 and did report some sharp interest on the Jets moving him down to 3. He also reported the same exact sharp move on the Total. Both guys did say the Jets will likely be a popular public bet on Sunday and they will probably be rooting for the Chiefs.

Chicago @ Dallas
My NYC guy said he’s seen some sharp interest on the Cowboys here but not enough to move him off of the key number of 7. Different story from my Vegas guy as he said it’s been the dog and the Under getting some money. He’s down to 7 from a 7.5 opener and the Total is down to 44.5 from a 45 opener.

Atlanta @ New Orleans

My NYC guy says a little sharp interest on the Falcons here but not enough to move him off of the key number of 3. Nothing to report in Vegas on this one.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. Over the last 5 years I’ve won 61% of my L/272 NFL bets. It’s good to have a guy like me and the rest of the handicappers here at We Cover Spreads by your side come Sunday. The rest of the crew is ready to go this season in NFL! Hop on board with us this week as we look to exploit the marketplace.You can pick up my plays and the rest of the cappers right here on the site.

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