2016 Week 2 NFL Smart Money Report

FootballMoneyMy weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 1 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometimes it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
NY Jets @ Buffalo

My NYC local contact said he opened this at +3 and he took big sharp money on the Jets early in the week beating the public to the punch moving this line all the way down Jets-1 flip flopping them as a favorite. He said at +1 a different group of sharps did buy back on Buffalo this morning. He noted the Total was hit Under by sharps moving him from 42.5 to 40.5. In Vegas my West Coast guy opened the Bills as a -1 favorite and took some sharp money on the Jets moving them to a -1 favorite. Sharps bet the Under a little moving him down a half of tick from 41 to 40.5

Sunday
San Francisco @ Carolina

The sharps are interested in Carolina early this week according to my NYC bookie source. He said sharps moved him from -12.5 to -13.5 as we go to press. He said when numbers get this high in NFL you usually see buy back from old school sharps on the dog, and he said he expects that at some point by kick off. In Vegas my West Coast guy said he saw a small move on Carolina moving them from -13 to -13.5. He said eventhough he has bigger volume bets for the Panthers, so far about 3/4 of the tickets he has written on this game are on San Francisco.

Dallas @ Washington
NYC and Las Vegas sharps didn’t make a move on the side or total in this one early in the week.

Miami @ New England
Sharps haven’t been interested in this one early in the week just yet in NYC or Vegas. My Vegas guy did say he thinks New England will be a public play here as he estimates 7 out of 10 tickets he’s written are on New England so far.

New Orleans @ NY Giants
NYC sharps like the dog and the Over here according to my local bookie source. He tells me sharps bet him down to +5.5 to 4.5 on the side and up from 51.5 to 53.5 on the Total. He said as the NYC betting public gets involved through the weekend this line will be going back up, he’s happy with the early sharp money on the dog here and said that should balance him out a little bit through the weekend. A little sharp interest on the dog in Vegas as my guy tells me the Saints moved from +5 to +4.5. He also confirmed the stronger move was the Over betting him from 51.5 to 53 as well.

Baltimore @ Cleveland
My NYC guy confirms two way sharp action on this one so far. He said he took sharp money when he opened this at 5.5 on the Ravens moving them up to -7 here before seeing a different group of sharp take the Browns +7 forcing him to move back to 6.5 as we go live with the article. His total was bet down a half of tick from 43 to 42.5. Same exact story in Vegas with sharps liking the Ravens in the -5.5 to -6.5 range and opposing sharps took Browns+7.

Tennessee @ Detroit
Only thing to report in NYC on this one early was small move to the Over betting him from 47 to 47.5 as we go to press. Nothing to report in Vegas on this game.

Kansas City @ Houston
Some early sharp action has showed up on Houston here according to my NYC bookie source, saying he has moved the Texas from -1.5 to -2.5 as we go to press. His total has been bet down a half of tick from 44 to 43.5. My Vegas contact said he took some early sharp money on Houston moving him from -1.5 to -2.5, but he did note it wasn’t that big of a move and he did see some small opposing sharp support on the Chiefs earlier in the week. My Vegas guy tells me the Texans are expected to be a popular public bet for him Sunday and he wouldn’t be shocked if he hits 3 by kick off on this game in which he hopes for some sharp action on KC or he’ll need the Chiefs here if sharps don’t bite at +3.

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
My NYC guy is still sitting at the key number of 3. He said he’s taken some sharp action on the Steelers but not enough to move him off the key number of 3. Nothing to report in Vegas on this one early in the week.

Seattle @ Los Angeles
Off the board at time of the article.

Tampa Bay @ Arizona
Nothing to report in NYC or Las Vegas early on in the week on this one.

Jacksonville @ San Diego
My NYC guy said this game is similar to the Steelers move, he took some sharp money on the Chargers here but not enough to move him off of the key number of 3. He said he was also hit on the Under moving him down to 47 from a 48 opener. My Vegas guy said he did take enough sharp money on the Chargers to move him off of the opener of 3 up to 3.5 before seeing opposing sharps buy back on the dog at +3.5 He also reported a move on the Under knocking him down to 47 from a 48 opener. Both books reported the public so far has shown more interest in the Chargers with both guys reporting more than double tickets on the Jags here.

Indianapolis @ Denver
A little sharp interest in NYC on the favorite moving him from -5.5 to -6 as we go to press. He said the stronger move was on the Over betting him from 44 up to 46 as we go to press. Nothing on the side to report from Vegas but he did note some sharp interest on the Over betting him up to 46 from a 45 opener.

Atlanta @ Oakland
My NYC guy tells me he’s seen some sharps on both sides of this game. Some guys laid -4.5 with Oakland and others took +5 with the Falcons. He said overall a little more sharp money on Oakland though. He said the stronger move was the Total with sharps betting this one Over from 47.5 to 49.5

Green Bay @ Minnesota
My NYC guy tells me a little interest on the Under betting him down a half of tick from 44 to 43.5 as we go to press. Stronger move in Vegas on the Under as my guy tells me he opened this at 45 and took a little Over money pushing him up to 45.5 and then saw opposing groups hit the Under was bet down to 44. Both guys said this game could likely make or break Sunday for them, and they’ll likely need the Vikings here.

Monday
Philadelphia @ Chicago

My NYC bookie source tells me took some sharp money on the Bears early in the week but not enough to move him off of the key number of 3. He also said his total is down a half of tick from 43 to 42.5. My Vegas guy said it’s been back and forth all week with sharps on this game. Some sharps took the Bears-3 forcing him to move off and up to -3.5 where others sharps took the Eagles at +3.5. But he said overall more bigger sharp money is on Chicago here.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. Over the last 5 years I’ve won 61% of my L/271 NFL bets after a 5*Banger winner on my only NFL bet last week! It’s good to have a guy like me and the rest of the handicappers here at We Cover Spreads by your side come Sunday. The rest of the crew is ready to go this season in NFL! Hop on board with us this week as we look to exploit the marketplace.You can pick up my plays and the rest of the cappers right here on the site.

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