2016 Week 1 NFL Smart Money Report

FootballMoneyMy weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 1 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometimes it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
Carolina @ Denver

My NYC local bookie contact said the sharp money came in on the Panthers here moving him from +1 Panthers to -3. He said most of the move was done over the Summer when limits were lower. He said nothing too big but some sharp money has come in as we go to press on the Broncos+3, but not enough for him to move off the key number. He said sharps also hit him hard on the Under moving him to 40.5 from a 43 opener. In Vegas my Vegas oddsmaker contact tells me the same story with sharps loving the Under moving him from 43 to 40.5 as well. He opened Denver-2 and moved all the way as high as Carolina-3.5 yesterday. He said at 3.5 he finally saw some buy back from sharps on Denver to move him to 3 where he currently sits as we go to press. Both guys said the public is heavy on Carolina as well and they both need Denver tonight.

Sunday
Buffalo @ Baltimore

Nothing on the side to report from NYC bookie source but he did say sharps bet this one Over betting him up to 44.5 from a 43 opener. My Vegas contact said he’s been at 3 for the most part but did get some sharp money on the Bills+3 moving him down to 2.5 at one point before opposing sharp action came in on the Ravens -2.5 which forced him to move back to 3. Same exact move on the Total with Over support moving him from 43 to 44.5

Cincinnati @ NY Jets

My NYC local source said he saw some sharp interest on the Bengals moving him up to 2.5 from a 1 opener. He did note that the public here in NYC will be on NY and he’ll almost definitely need Cincinnati here. He said his total was bet down a half of tick from 42 to 41.5. My Vegas bookie source said sharps bet him up from -1 Bengals to -2 Bengals. But he did note it wasn’t that big of a move and he did say he took some Jets money as well to balance things out. He said he expects the public heavy on the Bengals here Sunday and he’ll likely be rooting for New York. His total moved from 42.5 to 42 as we go to press.

Tampa Bay @ Atlanta
Nothing in NYC to report in terms of sharp action on this one. My Vegas contact told me he opened this at 3.5 and sharps took Atlanta +3.5 here but once he moved to 3 the love stopped. He said it’s been pretty quiet since.

Minnesota @ Tennessee
My NYC bookie source opened this Vikings-3 and when Bridgewater was injured he reopened this Minnesota-1. He did say he still took some sharp money on the Vikings and moved up to 2.5 as we go to press. He moved the total down from 42 to 41 but that was because of the Bridgewater injury not sharp money. My Las Vegas guy tells me he opened this at 3 in the Summer and saw Vikings sharp money move him up to 3.5. Bridgewater gets injured and he reopened and has seen some money come in on Minnesota moving him up to 2.5. He readjusted the total from 42.5 to 41 because of the Bridgewater injury, not sharp money.

Cleveland @ Philadelphia
Sharps love Cleveland this weekend according my NYC bookie source. He said he’s taking big sharp money on the Browns moving him from a +7.5 opener to +6. Once Bradford got traded he reopened this at 4 and still some sharp money came in on the Browns moving him to 3.5as we go to press. He also said big money came in on the Under moving him from 45 to 43. When Bradford got traded he reopened it t 41 and all has been quiet on the total since. In Vegas my guy tells me before the Bradford trade he was bet down from 8 to 6 with Cleveland money. He reopened them at 5 and was bet down to 4 as we go to press. Before the trade he said Under money dropped him from 45 to 42.5 but since he reopened this at 41 it’s been all quiet as well.

Green Bay @ Jacksonville
My NYC guy said he’s moved the side here from 4 to 4.5 on Green Bay as the favorite. He also noted his Total was bet up a half of tick from 47 to 47.5. On the Vegas strip my guy moved this from 4.5 to 5 so far this week and the Total is up from 47 to 47.5 as well. Both guys informed me they will need Jacksonville on Sunday to cover in a big way.

San Diego @ Kansas City

My NYC local contact tells me sharps liked the Chargers at +7 enough to move him off of the key number down to 6.5 as we go to press on this one. He said sharps also like the Over betting him up to 44.5 from a 43 opener. My Vegas contact tells me he has been bouncing back and forth between 7 and 6.5 all week on this one with some sharps liking the Chargers+7 and others prefer the Chiefs-6.5 . He currently sits at 6.5 as we go to press. He said he saw some Over money move him from 43 to 44.

Chicago @ Houston
Early in the Summer my NYC guy says the Bears received some love moving him down to 4 from a 5 opener. He said since sharps saw live action in the preseason that money came in on the Texans moving him up to 6 from 4. He said the Total dropped from 44 to 43. Same exact story on the side in Vegas with early sharp money coming in on Chicago but after the preseason showing it’s been all Texans support. Nothing on the Total for him.

Oakland @ New Orleans
Nothing to report on the side here in NYC on this one but he did note he was bet up from 50 to 51 as we go to press. Nothing on the side here and he did note his Total was bet up a half of tick from 50.5 to 51.

Miami @ Seattle
Our NYC bookie source says the sharps love Seattle here and bet him big moving this number 7.5 to as high as 10.5. He did note at 10.5 he saw some buy back on the Dolphins. He is currently at 10 as we go to press. His Total is up a half of tick from 44 to 44.5. My Vegas guy tells me it’s been all Seahawks money with no Dolphins buy back driving him up to 10.5 from an 8 opener. Different story on his Total, as he said he was bet down a half of tick from 44.5 to 44.

NY Giants @ Dallas
My NYC guy said he’ll be rooting for the Cowboys here and after the Romo injury he moved this from Dallas-4 to a PK. He said he will definitely be at NY Giants as the favorite within the next couple of days. He said after reopening this Total he was bet down a half of tick from 46.5 to 46. My Vegas contact told me he saw sharp money on the Giants before the injury to Romo driving them from +4 to +3. Since reopening this at Giants-1 he saw some sharp interest on the Cowboys moving him to a PK. He opened this Total at 48 after the Romo injury and saw a big sharp move on the under push him down to 46.5 as we go to press.

Detroit @ Indianapolis
My NYC guy tells me some sharps like the Lions here betting him from 5 to 3.5 as we go to press. He said the Over has been a popular sharp play as well moving him from 49 to 51. My Vegas guy tells me when he first opened this game he saw a little Colts support move him from -4.5 to -5 but since then there has been some Detroit money push him down to 3.5 as well. He said he’s seen a tug of war on the Total with some sharps on the Over and others on the Under. He said there is more money collectively on the Over from sharps to make note of.

New England @ Arizona
Not much to report on the side here and a 1/2 point move on the Total from 47.5 to 47 with a little Under money coming in NYC. In Vegas my guy tells me he opened this Arizona -5 after the Brady suspension and was bet up to -6 as we go to press with Arizona money. He said he was pounded hard on the Under in this game moving him from 50.5 to 47 as we go to press. He said he will likely be rooting for New England here.

Monday
Pittsburgh @ Washington

Nothing to report in NYC on this game so far. In Vegas he opened this at 3.5 and was bet down to 3 with some sharp money on the home dog. He said all is quiet here on the Total.

Los Angeles @ San Francisco
A little show of money on Los Angeles moving them from -2 to -2.5 but my NYC guy says the big sharp move is on the Under here moving him from 46 to 43.5 as we go to press. In Vegas the same exact story with a 2 to 2.5 move on the Rams and the big move as well on the Under moving him down to 43.5 from a 45.5 opener.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. Over the last 5 years I’ve won 61% of my L/270 NFL bets! It’s good to have a guy like me and the rest of the handicappers here at We Cover Spreads by your side come Sunday. The rest of the crew is ready to go this season in NFL! Hop on board with us this week as we look to exploit the marketplace.You can pick up my plays and the rest of the cappers right here on the site.

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