2016 NFL Week 11 Smart Money Report

FootballMoneyMy weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 1 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometimes it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
New Orleans @ Carolina

Here in NYC my local bookie contact told me he took a little sharp money at +4 on the Saints. He’s down to 3.5 now where it’s pretty quiet. My Vegas oddsmaker contact reported two way sharp action on this game.He told me he took sharp action on the Saints at +4 and +3.5. He did go as low as 3 on this where sharp buy back came in on the Panthers.

Sunday
Baltimore @ Dallas

My NYC local bookie source says he took a little sharp money on Cowboys -7 but nothing big enough to move off of the key number. My Vegas oddsmaker source reported sharp action on Baltimore +7.5 but when he moved to 7 the love stopped. He reports over 3/4 tickets on the Cowboys from the betting public here.

Jacksonville @ Detroit
Some sharp interest on the Jaguars at +6.5 here in NYC. My guy said when he went down to 6 that opposing sharps did take the Lions -6. My Vegas oddsmaker contact reported sharp action on the Jaguars+7 but all is quiet on this game at 6.5 where he currently stands. He reported heavy public interest in the Lions, about 4 out of 5 bets have been on them so far according to his ticket count.

Tennessee @ Indianapolis

A little sharp action on the Titans +3 here in NYC but nothing strong enough to move my guy off of the key number. My Vegas source said all is quiet in Sin City on this game.

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
A little sharp interest on the Bucs+7.5 on this one in NYC but nothing strong enough to move this off of 7.5. Nothing to report on this one in Vegas.

Arizona @ Minnesota
It’s been all sharp early action on the Vikings here according to my local bookie source. He said the Vikings are up from -1 to -2.5 and it looks like this will be hitting 3 soon in search of some buy back on the Cardinals he hopes to even money out. My Vegas guy said a little sharp money on the Vikings at -1 but nothing too big.

Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
It’s been all sharp action on the dog and the Under here in NYC. Sharps bet Cleveland down to +7.5 from a +9.5 opener. The Total is also down to 46.5 from a 49.5 opener with a big Under move. In Vegas there also has been some Browns money betting him down to 8 from a 9.5 opener but he also said the bigger move is on the Total. Under money pushed him down to 46.5 from 49.5 as well.

Buffalo @ Cincinnati

Sharp money on Buffalo +3 here in the NYC marketplace. My guy tells me at 2.5 though the love stopped for Buffalo and some opposing sharp money started trickling in on the Bengals. My Vegas oddsmaker source tells me sharps took the Bills+3 as well and he’s down to 2.5 where all is quiet.

Miami @ Los Angeles
All sharp and public money on the Dolphins here in NYC. The Dolphins moved from +1 to to -1.5. Money came in on the Under as well moving him down to 40 from a 41.5 opener. In Vegas a little sharp interest on Miami moving them from -1 to -1.5. His total is down a half of tick from 40.5 to 40. Both guys reported heavy public action on the Dolphins and both likely will need Los Angeles here.

New England @ San Francisco

Sharp money in the NYC market came in on the 49’ers +13.5 moving this down to 13. A little Under money moved my local guy down to 51 from a 51.5 opener. My Vegas guy confirms sharps on the West Coast like the dog here and bet him down to 13 from a 14 opener. He’s down to 51.5 from a 52 opener. Both guys confirmed that the public ticket count is 9 out of 10 bets in favor of Patriots here.

Philadelphia @ Seattle

Early Seattle money hitting the market in NYC. The Seahawks have been bet from -6 to -6.5 and my local guy says he thinks this will hit 7 sooner than later. My Vegas guy reported a big move on the Under here, moving him down 43 from a 46 opener.

Green Bay @ Washington
Two way sharp action in NYC on the Sunday Night Game. My local guy said some sharps took the Packers +3 and others came in on the Redskins-2.5. Same exact story in Vega with some sharps on the Redskins-2.5 and others on the Packers+3.

Monday
Houston @ Oakland
Both guys reporting heavy public action and some sharp action on the Raiders here. Both guys said they see this hitting 7 by Monday and hope to see some Texans buy back otherwise they will need Houston here.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. Over the last 5 years I’ve won 61% of my last 297 NFL bets after another winning Sunday last week. It’s good to have a guy like me and the rest of the handicappers here at We Cover Spreads by your side come Sunday. The rest of the crew is ready to go this season in NFL! Hop on board with us this week as we look to exploit the marketplace.You can pick up my plays and the rest of the cappers right here on the site.

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