2015 NFL Week 5 Smart Money Report

FootballMoneyMy weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 5 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
Indianapolis @ Houston

As we go to press with this article the status of Andrew Luck is uncertain. Early sharp money has been on Houston here in NYC according to my local oddsmaker contact. He was bet from Houston+1 to Houston-1. The total was bet down a half of tick from 45 to 44.5 In Vegas was the same exact story on the side and total.

Washington @ Atlanta
My local NYC bookie source opened this 9.5 to keep the Falcons out of the teaser window but he was hit with sharp money on Washington driving this down to 7.5 at the time of the article and he said he looks to be headed to 7 shortly. In Vegas my bookmaker source tells he opened at 8 and was bet down to 7 with sharp money coming in on Washington. The total was bet up a half of tick from 47.5 to 48 at his shop.


Seattle @ Cincinnati

Nothing to report in NYC on the side but the Total was bet down a half of tick from 44 to 43.5. My Vegas contact told me he opened this at 3 and did take some sharp money initially on Seattle and went down to 2.5 where he saw some other sharps buy in on the Bengals and he was forced to push this back to 3 as we go to press. He said the total was bet down to 43 from a 44 opener with sharp money on the Under.

New Orleans @ Philadelphia
My NYC local source said there’s been some early sharp money on the Saints here pushing him down to 4.5 from a 5.5 opener, nothing too big he said though . He said his total was bet up a half of tick from 48.5 to 49. On the strip in Vegas my West Coast guy tells me he’s bounced back and forth between 4.5 and 5 with nothing significant on the side. Same with the total he said jumping back and forth from 48.5 and 49 all week.

Cleveland @ Baltimore
Nothing to report in NYC on this one early. Nothing on the side from Vegas, he said he was bet down a half of tick from 43.5 to 43.

St. Louis @ Green Bay
My NYC source said sharp money bought in on St.Louis at 10 and moved him down to 9.5 where all has been quiet. His total was bet down a half of tick from 46.5 to 46. Nothing to report on the side in Vegas and same exact story on the Total as the NYC guys.

Buffalo @ Tennessee
My NYC source tells me early sharp money on Tennessee pushing him off the key number of 3 down to 2.5. He said there was very strong sharp sentiment on the Under and a big move pushed him down to 42. from a 44.5 opener. Same story in Vegas with a sharp move on the Titans pushing him to 2.5 off of 3, and he told me he had nothing to report on the total in this one.

Chicago @ Kansas City
Nothing to report on the side or total from NYC on this one. In Vegas my contact told me he took some sharp money on the Bears at +10 moving him down to 9.5. He also said he was bet down to 45 from a 45.5 opener.

Jacksonville @ Tampa Bay
Nothing to report on the side in NYC but my local guy tells there was strong sharp action on the Under betting him down to 42 from a 43.5 opener. My Vegas contact told me he opened this at 3 and took some money on the Jaguars and went down to 2.5 before seeing some other sharps buy in on the Bucs-2.5 and forced him back up to 3. He said his total was bet down to 42 from a 42.5 opener.

Arizona @ Detroit
My NYC guy tells me some sharp money has come in on the Lions pushing him off of the key number of 3 down to 2.5 on this one. He also noted he expects Arizona to be a popular late straight and exotic public bet. Sharps taking Detroit definitely lessened his load on this game.Nothing on the total. My Vegas connection tells me he took sharp money on the Lions+3 too and move down to 2.5 but than got hit with some Arizona money which forced him back up to 3. Total was quiet.

Denver @ Oakland
My local NYC contact tells me there’s been some early sharp money on the divisional home dog Raiders pushing him down to 4.5 from a 5.5 opener. He also said he was bet down a half of tick from 43.5 to 43. My West Coast source tells me he’s moved this from 5.5 to 5, but it’s been pretty quiet on the side. He said the total has bounced from 43.5 to 43 all week.

New England @ Dallas
The Patriots are going to be a big favorite bet on Sunday afternoon and my local contact tells me he’ll likely be rooting for Dallas Sunday. He opened this at 7 and saw a lot of early New England sharp teaser money and he moved it up 9.5 to protect himself and hopefully attract some Dallas money he said. The total has been quiet. My Vegas contact tells me he took early sharp money on New England moving him up to 9.5 as well from a 7 opener, and these weren’t because of New England teaser bets, he said he took a few big sharp bets on New England. He said his total has been bet up from 49 to 49.5.

San Francisco @ NY Giants
My NYC local will obviously be a huge 49ers fan on Sunday, and he said this game will likely make or break his weekend, he’ll need San Fran bad. So far nothing in terms of sharp action to report early on. Nothing from Sin City either.

Monday
Pittsburgh @ San Diego

Nothing to report on the side but NYC contact tells me the early sharp money has come on the Over pushing him up to 45.5 from a 44.5 opener. My Vegas contact told me some early sharp money came in on San Diego moving up to 3.5 from a 3 opener. He said another group came in and scooped up the 3.5 on Pittsburgh and he had to move this back down to 3. He said initially he saw some Under money bet him down from 45.5 to 44.5 and than was bet back up to 44.5 with some Over money.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. Over the last 5 years I’ve won 60% of my L/241 NFL bets and have jumped out to a 67% start on my NFL picks in 2015 It’s good to have a guy like me and the rest of the handicappers here at We Cover Spreads by your side come Sunday. The rest of the crew is running red hot in football to start the 2015 season with Mikey Connoly still a perfect 5-0 (100%) this season in NFL! Hop on board with us this Saturday and Sunday as we look to exploit the marketplace.You can pick up my plays right here on the site.

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