2013 NFL Week 5 Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 5 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
Buffalo @ Cleveland (-3.5, O/U 40.5)

This opened at 4.5 in Vegas and my oddsmaker contact told me the early sharp money has been coming in on Buffalo betting this down to 3.5. Nothing to report on the total. Here in NYC at our local shops different story as this game opened at -3 and the early sharp money came in on the Browns betting this as high as -4 before some sharp support came back on the Bills at +4. The line is currently at 3.5 with nothing to report on the totals.

Sunday
New England @ Cincinnati (-1, O/U 45)

Recreational bettors are expected be backing the Patriots heavily on Sunday my Vegas source told me. In the desert this opened at -1.5 in his shop and early money on the Patriots moved this up to -1.5. Here in NYC on our underground scene a different story. This opened at a PK and early sharp money has been on the Bengals moving this up to -1.5 here in NYC this week.Nothing on the market to report on either total.

Detroit @ Green Bay (-7. O/U 53.5)
In Vegas my oddsmaker contact said he opened this at 6.5 and the early money came in on the Packers and he currently sits at the key # of 7 where all is quiet. Here in NYC my local source tells me. This opened at 52.5 and has been bet up to 53.5 with Over support. My Vegas contact also said this Over will be heavily bet my the recreational public and depending how high it goes some old school guys would bet this total Under before kick off as a knee jerk reaction since they bet totals this high Under automatically. Here in NYC same story as Vegas as sharps were quick to grab the Over before the betting public at 51.5 and the number is now up to 43.5 as we go to press.

Seattle @ Indianapolis (+3, O/U 44)
My Vegas oddsmaker source has been hanging this game at 2.5 all week long and tells me he hasn’t received any big money bets on the side yet. He said the total was bet up a half of tick from 43.5 to 44 as we go to press. On my local underground scene in NY we are 3 (-125 juice attached) with early support coming in on the Colts from sharps. Same story as Vegas with the total.

Baltimore @ Miami (-3, O/U 43.5)
Nothing to report early in the week on this game. My Vegas oddsmaker source did mention he is still sitting on the key # of 3. Here in NYC we have seen the early sharp action come in on the Ravens and we are now sitting at 3 (-130 vig attached) My local NYC source told me the ticket count is about even but the big money is on the Ravens.

New Orleans @ Chicago (-1, O/U 48)
My Vegas source told me he’s seen a tug of war between sharps on this game. He said +1 the Saints saw sharp money on the opener but once he moved to a PK sharp money came back on the Bears. The total has been bet up a half of tick. Here in NYC nothing early to report on this game.

Philadelphia @ NY Giants (-1, O/U 53)
Nothing early to report on the side in Vegas but the total was bet down a half of tick from 54.5 to 54. Here in NYC on our local underground scene this line has been dancing around all week and sharp money has come in on the Eagles at +2.5 and on the Giants at -1. The total opened at 55.5 saw a strong move to the Under here in NYC being bet down to 53.

Kansas City @ Tennessee (+1, O/U 38.5)
Nothing to report on the side from Sin City but the total was bet down from 39.5 to 39. Here in NYC early sharp money came in on the Titans at +3. My NYC bookie source tells me expects a lot of recreational bettors on the Chiefs in this game.

Jacksonville @ St.Louis (-11, O/U 41)
Nothing to report early from Vegas on this game. Here in NYC my local sources tells me at +12.5 and +12 he saw some early sharp money come in on the Jaguars. Both sources agreed this game will likely have little interest from the recreational betting public so if you see this line moving around on Sunday most likely it’s sharp money.

Carolina @ Arizona (+1, O/U 43)
Nothing to report on the side from Sin City but the total was bet up a half of tick from 42 to 42.5 according to my Vegas source. On the east coast same story not much early sharp interest.

Denver @ Dallas (-7.5, O/U 56)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact tells the “chase” game for recreational bettors will be this game and he said he expects heavy recreational money on the Broncos who have caught the hearts of recreational bettors over the past few weeks. In Dallas my Vegas oddsmaker source opened this at -7 and is now up to -7.5. The totals has been bet up from 55.5 to 56.5 as we go to press.Here in NYC same story as this opened at -6 and is now up to -7.5. The total opened at 54 and has been bet up to 56 as we go to press.

Houston @ San Francisco (-6.5 O/U 42)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact tells me the early money came in on the Texans at +7 and he moved this to 6.5 where all is quiet. He said the total was bet down a half of tick from 43 to 42.5. Here in NYC at our local shops it’s the same story with early sharp money coming in on the dog in this game moving this down to 6.5 with -125 juice attached to bet the Texans. The total has seen Under support from sharps in the City betting this down to 42 from a 43 opener.

San Diego @ Oakland (+4, O/U 45)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact told me a little early sharp sentiment came in on the Raiders moving this from 5 to 4.5 as we go to press with a move toward the Over being bet up from 44 to 45. Here in NYC at our local shops this opened at 5.5 and has been bet down to 4 with a little more sharp love on the Raiders than in Vegas. Same story on the total.

Monday
NY Jets @ Atlanta (-10, O/U 43.5)

This opened at 8.5 according to my Vegas source to keep the Falcons out of the teaser window and early sharp support came in on the Falcons moving this up to -10 as we go to press with no buy back yet on the dog. Same exact story here in NYC.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. We are on a 15-6 (71%) NFL 5* Banger run and Long term we’ve been beating up on the books in NFL 104-63-4 (62%) L/171 NFL Bets! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side come Sunday to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this Saturday and Sunday as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site.

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