2013 NFL Week 2 Smart Money Report

My weekly blog special the “Smart Money Report” Week 2 edition is here to help you guys out. Make sure to check here every Thursday during NFL season as I utilize all my sharps aka professional bettor contacts, Las Vegas Oddsmaker contacts, and NYC bookies to give you the info on what’s happening behind the counter in the NFL betting marketplace with every game on the board.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Thursday
NY Jets @ New England Patriots (-12, O/U 43)

My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this up at 13 and took Jets money moving this down to 12 as we go to press. The total was bet down a half of tick from 44 to 43.5. Here in NYC in our local underground market this opened 12 and initially Patriots money entered the market pushing this up to 13 where resistance came and we saw buy back on the dog at +13. Same exact story on the total. So it’s safe to say sharps who do like the Jets like them at 13.

Sunday
Washington @ Green Bay (-7.5, O/U 49.5)

Nothing to report early from the desert or NYC on this game as we go to press on the side or the total.

Dallas @ Kansas City (-3, O/U 46.5)

My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this at -2.5 and right away the sharps laid the 2.5 with the Chiefs pushing this up to the key # of 3 where all is quiet. He said he had nothing early to report on the total. Here in NYC books opened this on the key # of 3 diverting any KC money under -3 from sharps. He also told me all is quiet on the total.

Minnesota @ Chicago (-6, O/U 41.5)
My Las Vegas oddsmaker source told me they opened this up at 6.5 on the strip and he initially took a little dog money at +6.5 on the Vikings and moved it down to 6 where all has been quiet. The total has been bet up a half of tick from 41 to 41.5. According to my local NYC bookie source same exact story on the side and total.

St. Louis @ Atlanta (-7, O/U 47)
Nothing to report on the side early in the week on this game but my oddsmaker source did tell me the total was bet up a half of tick from 47 to 47.5 as we go to press. Here in NYC this opened at 6.5 and my local contact said they did take some sharp action the Falcons at -6.5. He said they moved the game to 7 where they have seen some buy back from sharps and now are charging -125 juice to bet the dog at +7 as we go to press. He did say he expects the Falcons to be a popular teaser play on Sunday from recreational players.

Miami @ Indianapolis (-3, O/U 42.5)

This opened at 3 on the Vegas strip and my oddsmaker contact told me the early sharp money has come in on the Dolphins at +3. He said it was strong enough of a move from sharp players for him to move this down to 2.5 and try to entice some Colts money. He did say he expects the Colts to be popular with recreational bettors as we get closer to kick off and their money may move this back to 3 where he said sharps likely would come back in on the dog. Here in NYC according to my local bookie source their has been early sharp sentiment on the dog but they have attached -125 juice to bet Miami at +3 and said he hopes to hang onto 3 for as long as possible before moving to 2.5. Nothing on the total.

Cleveland @ Baltimore (-6.5, O/U 43.5)

My Vegas oddsmaker told me the Ravens will be another popular play amongst recreational bettors as he expects them to show up in straight and exotic wagers such as teasers this Sunday. He said all is quiet as far as sharp action goes at 6.5 and 43.5 which is what they opened this game at. Here in NYC at our local shops nothing to report on the side but the total was bet up a half of tick from 43 to 43.5.

San Diego @ Philadelphia (-7. O/U 54)

My Vegas oddsmaker opened this at 7.5 and saw the # go as high as 8 before settling back at 7.5 as we go to press time. He said the 54 opener was bet up a half of tick to 54.5 as we go to press. Here at our local shops in NYC in the underground market this opened at 7.5 and we saw early sharp money come in on San Diego at 7.5. Locals moved this to 7 where all has been quiet at we go to press .Nothing to report on this total.

Tennessee @ Houston (-9.5/O/U 43)

My Vegas oddsmaker opened this at 8.5 and quickly moved to 9 as he said it’s strictly a move to try to keep Houston out of the teaser window for Sunday.The total opened at 43 and was bet up to 44 with some movement toward the Over early in the week he said. Here in NYC at our local scene all is quiet on the side and total early in the week.

Carolina @ Buffalo (+3, O/U 43.5)

All is quiet on the side in Vegas but my bookmaker source tells me he’s seen a strong move early in the week toward the Under as this opened at 44.5 and has been bet down to 43.5 as we go to press. Here in NYC my local bookie source told me the same thing with all being quiet on the side and a strong sharp move toward the Under early in the week.

New Orleans @ Tampa Bay (+3, O/U 47)

My Vegas oddsmaker contact said books in Sin City will be rooting for the Bucs hard because he expects heavy recreational money to be on the Saints in the afternoon game as recreational bettors love betting the favorites in the late games and this Saints team is an enticing one. He told me they opened this at -3 and moved to 3.5 where he did see a little buy back on the Bucs from sharps at 3.5. He then moved the line back to 3. He seems to think sharps will wait to snag this dog in this one before kick off. Remember old school sharps love divisional home dogs. He said the total opened 47.5 and has been bet down to 47. Here in NYC on our local scene all is quiet on the side but the total opposite of Vegas was bet up a half of tick form 46.5 to 47 as we go to press.

Detroit @ Arizona (+1, O/U 47.5)

My Vegas contact told me besides the Lions you can expect to see strong recreational money coming in on the Lions this Sunday and books will at some point be rooting for the Lions and hoping to get some sharp action on the dog. He opened this at -1 and all has been quiet so far. He did say the total was bet up from 47 to 47.5. Here in NYC my local contact told me plenty of sharp syndicates in the NYC area are high on the Lions this year and they bet the Lions at a PK beating the public to the punch when this opened and our books moved this line to Detroit -1.5 as we go to press. The total opened at 46.5 and was bet up to 47.5 with support for the Over.

Jacksonville @ Oakland (-5.5, O/U 39)

Nothing to report from sharps on the side or total of this game in the Vegas market. Here in NYC at our local shops this opened at 5.5 and was bet up to 6 before a little sharp resistance came in on the Jaguars at +6 moving this back down to 5.5. The total opened 39.5 and was bet down to 39.

Denver @ NY Giants (+4.5, O/U 54.5)

This opened at 5.5 and has been bet down to 4.5 in Sin City as my Vegas oddsmaker contact told me the early sharp support has come in on the Giants. He said the early move has been toward the Over which has been bet up from 54.5 to 55.5 as we go to press. Here in NYC books expect plenty of action in this marquee Manning Bowl on Sunday. Our local underground scene will see plenty of NY Giants money which will be different from Vegas and other markets which will be likely have more recreational money on Denver. Here in NYC this opened at 5 and sharps took the Giants moving this down to 4.5 with -120 juice attached and even some local shops in NYC are dealing 4’s already. Nothing to report on the total early in NYC.

San Francisco @ Seattle (-3, O/U 44.5)

This will be a heavily bet Sunday Night affair in Vegas as two west coast teams square off for SNF this week. My Vegas oddsmaker told me he has taken sharp money on both sides. He said they opened this at -2.5 and took early Seahawks money moving this up to -3. He said he took even more money on the 49’ers at +3 and has moved the number back down to 2.5 saying he took a very large wager on the 49’ers at +3 and is hoping to balance some money out before the weekend. He said he also expects most the recreational betting public to bet the 49’ers in this game. The total opened at 45 and sharps grabbed the key # moving this down to 44.5 as we go to press. Here in NYC at our local shops we are still dealing 3’s with attached juice to bet the 49’ers. My local contact told me he’s trying to hang onto 3 as long as possible. Same story on the total.

Monday
Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati (-6.5, O/U 40.5)

MNF and my Vegas oddsmaker told me he opened this at 6.5 and did take some early money on the Bengals and moved this to 7 as we go to press. He said all is quiet at 7. Nothing to report on the total early in the week. Here in NYC you can still bet the Bengals under a TD at -6.5 but have to lay an extra 10 cents with the -120 vig. Total is quiet.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one. SLong term we’ve been beating up on the books in NFL 99-61-4 (62%) L/163 NFL Bets! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side come Sunday to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this Saturday and Sunday as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site.

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