We’ve been betting dogs in College Basketball in the first half during conference and the NCAA Tournament for years. We have a strategy we like to find dogs that we think can hang around for 20 minutes but maybe don’t have enough gas to hang with a superior team for a full 40 minutes. Many bettors who do bet the first half of College Basketball game try to find a favorite they like and basically cut the spread in half.

That’s a great strategy if it works for you but it never worked for us. We’ve had an odd approach of betting on dogs who we feel can hang tight for 20 minutes but may collapse in the closing minutes of a game which won’t affect our wager since we bet them for the first half only.

Perfect example this past weekend we had bet Virginia+6 vs the first half vs. UNC. We knew North Carolina might come out flat fresh off a demoralizing buzzer beater loss to Duke. We know Virginia had the talent stick around in the first half of this game. We weren’t confident they could play a full 40 against a very talented UNC team. Virginia trailed 35-32 at halftime covering our +6 first half bet. They ended up losing the game 70-52 and not even coming close to covering the 10 point spread for the full game. We took a shot and cashed out. Staying away from the full game was a smart strategy.

It was a simple philosophy for us, take a good Virginia team catching three buckets for 20 minutes against a UNC team that may come out flat off a heartbreaking loss to their bitter rival. It worked out good for us and the talent of the UNC team took over the final 20 minutes of the game just like we thought.

This strategy works like a charm in March Madness when we utilize it to it’s maximum potential. Think about last year in the National Title Game when Butler was playing UConn. Butler covered the first half bet easy for bettors as a 1.5 point underdog by taking a 22-19 lead at halftime. UConn’s talent eventually took over in the second half as they covered the 3 point spread for the full game easily winning 53-41.

There is a science to it in a way but a lot of times is just us looking for emotional advantages. The other day we bet St.John’s first half against Georgetown. We knew Georgetown was coming off a heartbreaking loss to Syracuse in a game they could have won. Now they are back at home playing on a Sunday against a struggling St. John’s team.

We were catching St.John’s getting +8.5 . There was no way we could pass that value up. St.John’s ended up covering not only the first half but the full game as well. There was no statistics, trends, inside info, or anything else involved with making that bet. Just pure emotion and commonsense that we felt Georgetown maybe a little flat early on.

The same Sunday we took a position on Fairfield +2.5 for the first half. Unlike the other games we actually felt Fairfield should hang the full 40 minutes so we wagered on the full game too at +5. Again no stats, trends, info, etc. went into handicapping this game. It was a pure fade of Loyola-MD who upset Iona in what was arguably their biggest game of the year two nights before. We knew Fairfield who has a talented squad would come out and take advantage of a let down spot for Loyola-MD. End of the day we cashed two tickets on that game winning the first half and full game.

You can apply a science to this as well if you like. Look at how some of these teams perform first half at home compared to on the road. Take North Carolina for example. They hold an average of 15.2 point lead at half time at home per game but just a 4.2 point lead at half time per away game. Commonsense tells you that betting a first half home underdog vs UNC can be a profitable proposition.

Think about it, North Carolina is one of the elite teams in the nation with a bulls eye on their back. These young kids want nothing more than to knock this team off in front of their home crowd. The crowd is pumped up, adrenaline is pumping, and these kids usually can compete with UNC for 20 minutes. In the second half coaching adjustments and pure talent take over for the Tar Heels. What happens is the crowd gets deflated to a non factor and the other team finally collapses failing to cover the spread for the full game.

If you need an example on February 4 they visited Maryland and failed to cover the first half spread of 7 points. They were actually trailing by 3 points at halftime. They outscored Maryland by 12 in the second half and won the game. On January 19 they were visiting Virginia Tech and failed to cover the 3.5 point first half spread and were trailing Va Tech by 5 at halftime. Pure talent and adjustments took over in the second half and they ended up beating Va Tech 82-68 easily covering the 6.5 point full game spread.

How about Florida with an average of a 11.8 point lead at halftime at home but just a 1.1 point lead at halftime on the road. California has a 11.7 point lead at halftime average but are usually trailing by an average of 0.5 points on the road per game. How about UNLV with a an average of a 12.4 point halftime lead at home but trails by an average of 1.2 points at halftime on the road. Looking at home dogs in the first half against these teams is a worth a shot.

NBA has a similar strategy. My podcast partner from twitter @chadnov59 loves riding the Clippers in the first quarter. I didn’t get the exact stats from Chad but the Clippers have been a great first quarter bet. Especially when they play at home for whatever reason. I have noticed of late that the Bobcats have been atrocious in the first quarter. In the Bobcats last 10 games alone they have trailed by an average of 9.5 points at halftime. Making them a great team to play against in the first quarter as of late.

That wraps up this blog but I hope you all come out of it with some useful information on how to tips by making some wagers on first halves and first quarters. We’ve been on a solid tear in College Hoops going 5-2 (71%) with our first half bets, 64% winners in NCAA-BB in our last 66 bets, and 61% winners in all sports the L/37 days. We’ve been kicking the books butts all of 2012! So hop on board with me in basketball for daily, weekly, monthly, and season passes right here on the site or by calling me at the office at (757) 462-9030.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

NY Giants vs New England Patriots (-3, O/U 54)
Out in the desert my Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this at 3.5 and 55.5. Within 20 minutes of the opening line the 3.5′s disappeared quickly as he took in early Giants money moving this down to 3. The total opened at 55.5 and was stuck on that number for several days before being bet down to 55 after taking a few hefty at 55.5 on the Under. He said under money continues to flow into his casino early this week from sharps moving this down to 54. He said as far as teasers goes the experienced bettors will be taking the Giants to cross the key numbers of 3 of 7. Newbies will be teasing the Patriots from -3 to +3 which is absolutely a useless teaser. Sharps will tie the Giants in with the Under and recreational bettors will tie the Patriots teaser in with the Over. He also said he expects to see a lot of Giants money line bets from recreational bettors but expects good volume and hopefully close to an even split when all is said and done. The money line on the Giants opened +130 and hit as low as +115 before settling at +120 come press time.

Here on the NYC local scene after speaking with a local bookie source of mine the Giants opened +3.5 two Sunday nights ago. By Monday morning the Giants were down to +3. You have to pay an adjusted -125 vig to take the Giants at +3 here in the city. They expect an overwhelming amount of Giants money from parlays, teasers, money line bets, straight bets and will definitely be rooting for New England. He said whenever a New York team makes it the Super Bowl or any Championship series it’s an absolute nightmare because of how much money flows in on the local team. The total opened up at 55.5 here and the influx of early money came in on the Under just like my Vegas contacts shop moving this thing down a point and a half. To bet the Giants on the money line it opened +135, hit as low as +120, and settled at +125 come press time.

You’ll be hard pressed to find a handicapper who is coming into this Super Bowl game as hot as me. Also as consistent as me all year in the NFL. I’m on a 5-1 (83%) run in the playoffs this year, 13-4 (75%) in the playoffs the last two years, and 66-39-2 (63%) winners my last 107 NFL bets. If you want to make some money for the big game I suggest you look no further. Pick up my Super Bowl winner right here on the site in my Buy Picks section or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030.

Underperforming
These are teams with winning records straight up but losing records against the pointspread. In some cases these teams simply don’t perform up to the number assigned to them but read on and I will explain Miami’s situation.

Heat 16-5 SU & 9-12 ATS
It’s known for years in any sport that when betting on marquee public teams you normally will be forced to pay a premium or to some known as a tax. Just like the Lakers, Celtics, etc. the 2012 Miami Heat fall into this category. You are normally going to be paying anywhere from 1 to 3 points higher than what the actual line is supposed to be when betting on the Heat. That explains the 16-5 record straight up and 9-12 against the spread record. If you like betting the Heat enjoy paying a premium price!

Outperforming
These are teams that have losing straight up records but are profitable teams outperforming the number Vegas assigned to them.

Cavs 8-12 SU & 12-8 ATS
The Cleveland Cavaliers have some nice things coming together with Kyrie Irving budding into a young superstar before our eyes. Cleveland still has value because many recreational bettors have written them off since the teams horrendous season last year. That leaves value in Vegas since the betting public is paying them no mind. Cleveland has been playing hard and is a quality team to back with a losing record.

T’Wolves 10-11 SU & 13-8 ATS
Just like the Cavaliers this organization has been written off by bettors. Minnesota has not been a popular team in the mainstream since the Kevin Garnett era. This team is playing very hard and if they continue to improve I think they are capable of sneaking in as a #8 seed in the Western Conference. There is a lot of young talent on this Timberwolves team. As long as the betting public doesn’t catch up to them I think there is still some value left backing the T’Wolves to finish a profitable 2012 against the number.

Outperforming Honorable Mention: New Jersey and Toronto. Both teams are 7-15 straight up but have maintained a 11-11 (50%) record against the spread. Keep on eye on them to see if they can turn bettors a profit because they both are outperforming the number.

Undervalued
Here are three teams in first or second place in their division that are cashing tickets but still not as popular with the betting public as Miami, Chicago, Lakers, and Oklahoma City. There is value with all three teams.

76′ers 15-6 SU & 14-6-1 ATS
The Sixers get no respect. Maybe nobody believes in them because they don’t have a superstar which doesn’t make them popular at the betting window for the casual bettor. Bettors like to bet on Derrick Rose, Lebron James, Kevin Durant, not Andre Iguodala. Philly has the recipe to make bettors money all year against the spread until the public believes in them. They are a top 10 shooting team and #1 in defense. That’s a combo which equals cash money baby.

Denver 14-7 SU & 14-7 ATS
I saw how Denver played last year once they traded away Carmello Anthony and I said to myself this team is going to be scary next year. I love all the young players they have. The biggest difference for Denver this year is that they are finding ways to win on the road. We all know the home court edge they have but the Nuggets are actually starting to win games away from Denver. They are 6-4 ATS at home and 8-3 ATS on the road giving nice balance which lines pockets with cash.

Dallas 14-8 SU 14-8 ATS
I think everyone including oddsmakers wrote off the defending champs this year because of their age. Normally defending champs are a “public” team but not this year after the media portrayed them to be on the decline. Bettors have found value taking Dallas this year as they are outperforming the number in my research. They are getting it done at home with a strong home court edge (8-4 ATS) and finding ways to stay within the number on the highway (6-4 ATS) creating a nice balance.

Moneyburners
These teams are bad. Not only can’t they find a way to win straight up but they also can’t seem to catch a break covering spreads. As the season progresses some of these young teams may start to play a little more cohesive and may turn things around. Or they may just give up and look to next year.

Either way keep on eye on how hard they are playing down the stretch. You can either way make money with them as oddsmakers undoubtedly inflate the number in their games to get them to cover some spreads since casual bettors will knee jerk reaction bet against them night in and night out. All three teams don’t seem to play well on the road going a combined 8-25 ATS. Home cooking isn’t great but it’s a little safer bet as they are 12-20 ATS combined.

Detroit 4-19 SU 6-16-1 ATS
Washington 4-17 SU 7-14 ATS
Charlotte 3-19 7-15

Over
These teams are cashing Over bettors tickets. Notice how short this list is!
Heat 12-9
Nuggets 12-9

Under
These teams are cashing Under bettors tickets. Look how long this list is. The NBA is definitely on an “Under” tear right now. Intersted to see if it keeps up.
76′ers 14-7
Celtics 11-7-2
Knicks 15-6
Raptors 14-7-1
Magic 13-7-1
Suns 14-6
Kings 14-7
Grizzlies 13-8
Hornets 13-8
Mavericks 13-9
Lakers 13-9
Trailblazers 13-8
T’Wolves 12-8-1
Wizards 13-8

If you need some advice on the NBA hardwood this year I suggest you look no further. We dominated through the final stretch of the NBA season and the playoffs the last two seasons here at We Cover Spreads. Expect the same thing this year! Get all of your daily, weekly, monthly, and season NBA advice right at the site in the Buy Picks section or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030.

The average recreational bettor usually doesn’t start betting basketball until the football season starts winding down. When they do engage in wagering on basketball games their focus is mainly on betting sides which is the pointspread winner of the game. Totals are something they choose to pass on. How many times have you spoke to someone new to sports betting and they say I usually don’t bet totals in basketball.

That leaves the NBA totals marketplace mainly to professional bettors to voice their opinion on. That can be a bad thing for professional bettors. With the absence of public recreational money on a total books are strictly exposed from sharp money on these totals. Linesmakers respect sharps opinions on these totals. They know how beatable they are. That’s why we see the opening number on a NBA total swing from 2 to as many as 5 or 6 points on any given night.

I’m sure you have heard the stories or experienced this yourself. Walk up to a betting window in many sportsbooks on the Las Vegas strip and tell the ticket writer you want to bet big on a NBA total and see what happens.

I’ll share my own story and I will spare the books name in this blog. During a visit to Vegas in 2010 I wanted to get a measly 5 grand down on a NBA total. I had got information from an associate of mine back in New York that a particular total on this NBA game just moved two points at local NYC books due to some sharp influence. I was on the strip going to grab lunch when he called me and ran into the nearest sportsbook to get down on this move.

I rush into the sportsbook which was rather quiet as far as business goes. I remember it was a weekday. There were a few guys chatting and hanging around but no line for me to wait on to place my bet. I told the ticket writer I want to put 5 grand on this particular total. I was denied and he told me the limit was $1,000 on this total. I was so upset because here I am in Vegas the so called betting capital of the world and I can’t get down 5 g’s on a game. Back home with my local he would take this bet no questions asked. I said screw it and bet it at the $1,000 limit.

The example I’m trying to make is books want no part of NBA totals. I had never been in this sportsbook in my life and this guy denied me to bet 5 grand on this total. It’s not like I was betting there all week and beating them. He doesn’t know me from a can of paint. I’m from New York and am not known or affilated with any “Vegas” betting circles, runners, or syndicates at casinos. There was no reason for him to limit my action. I could have been some tourist fool from off the street and he still wouldn’t take part of my action because books are scared of taking big money on NBA totals period.

Many sharp bettors and syndicates coast to coast are like vultures trying to get at the opening numbers when wagering on NBA totals. This is how the process works of how sharps voice their opinion. I’m going to use games from Monday January 23 as an example of how things work.

If any of you use live odds services take notes because you will now have a better understanding of watching the market sculpt before your eyes daily.

Let’s take New Jersey Nets and Chicago Bulls game as good example to start with. Sportsbooks didn’t open the total on this line until the morning of 1/23 around 10:40 AM EST. It opened at 184 here at a local book in the city I deal with. Within 15 minutes it had been bet down to 183.5 and 5 minutes later it was bet down to 183. So sharps initial move was on the under. At around 12:30 AM EST books take some heavy bets on the Over and pulled the game off the board immediately.

What had happened was sharps caught wind that Derrick Rose was playing and nailed it over. Books pull the game off the board and readjust. At 12:45 AM EST it reopens at 187. In my local books eyes Rose was worth 3 points on the total from their opening number of 184. Whoever had the info of Rose playing and bet it over at 183 had the best of the number. But even that didn’t stop other sharps from getting in on the action. By 5:00 PM EST the total crept up to 187.5, within 5 more minutes it was up to 188, and by tip off it closed at 189. The game went over the total by more than 15 points.

Let’s take another game from Monday. The Suns and the Mavericks. This game opened Sunday afternoon during all the mix of the football games at 181. Sharps are the ones betting NBA Monday totals during Sunday NFL Championship games. Within 1 hour of opening this line was up to 181.5. Ten minutes after moving to 181.5 it gets slammed up to 182.5 and hits as high as 183 late in the evening.

Sharps are betting these games the night before without 2 key things: injury report updates from game day and ref assignments. Two very important keys to NBA totals but taking the risk before the rest of the betting marketplace is all worth it to them.

Monday morning it gets bet up to 183.5. Before tip off around 5 PM EST sharps buy off their position on the over for whatever reason. Their buy off forces books to adjust the total back down to 182.5 here at local NYC shops. Their buy off was a smart move because the total ended finishing at 180 and their over tickets would have lost.

Those are two examples that give you a clear view at how each game is treated uniquely. It also proves you can not simply follow line moves betting NBA totals. You need to have access to someone on the other side of the betting counter to understand the line movement.

Head fakes are another common practice by sharps when betting NBA totals. For example a total opens at 202. A betting syndicate feels the line should be 201. He wants to bet this under but at the opening number of 202 one point of betting value isn’t enough. So all morning he bets the over at different sports books. Different associates of his also help out by flooding the market with over money. Shortly before tip they have drove the line up three points to 205. He now comes “over the top” by betting bigger on the Under at 205 which was the true position he wanted all along.

He knows at 205 he now has 4 points of value looking at his personal numbers betting the under which was much better than the one point of value he would have gotten when it opened. This is common practice by many sharps and syndicates. As a regular Joe bettor you may follow the move on your live odds service and bet the Over but you followed head fake money because the move was just to get a better number to bet the under the whole time. That’s why I stress following line moves in NBA totals on the blind is a recipe to go broke.

If you check my track record I’m definitely one of the most consistent handicappers when it comes to betting the NBA year after year. I am able to utilize many different sources of mine to differentiate between head fake and true positions, etc. You will see me focus mainly on totals the final 2/3 of the NBA season as in years past which is when we have done most of our damage. It’s still not to late too sign up for my NBA Season pass which carries you through the NBA Finals. For daily NBA action and information make sure to check me out daily at the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

Baltimore @ New England (-7, O/U 50)
Out on the Vegas Strip my oddsmaker contact opened the Patriots -7 and said he was bet up to 7.5 within 30 minutes of opening the lines. He said 7.5 only stuck around until Tuesday where sharps came in and took the hook with the dog pushing this back down to 7. He said the public will likely side with Brady and the Patriots come Sunday but there should be enough sharp money on the dog to keep things at bay. He said the Ravens have been bet down from a +290 dog on the money to a +250 dog on the money line at his shop. The total opened at 49.5 and has been bet up to 50.5 with support for the over.

Here on the local NYC betting scene according to my local source they opened the Ravens as a +7.5 dog with -120 adjusted vig to bet the dog. He said by Wednesday night they had seen enough sharps taking the hook and have adjusted the Ravens down to 7. At press time the Patriots are laying 7 with adjusted -115 vig to bet them. He said the betting public moving this line back up to 7.5 come day is realistic. Nothing to report on the total at 50.5 all week. Both said Patriots and Over teasers and parlays are likely from the betting public as far as exposure.

NY Giants @ San Francisco (-2.5, O/U 42)
This will show you how region will affect how books deal with this game. My Vegas oddsmaker contact will likely see plenty of 49′ers money on Sunday due to the proximity to California and my local NYC source will likely see plenty of Giants money due to the New York location. Remember many casual bettors bet with their heart and the home team mentality.

My Las Vegas oddsmaker opened this at 3 and was bet down to 2.5 within one hour of opening this line as sharps took the Giants at 3. He hit as low as 2 during the week and has settled at 2.5 come press time. He said sharps made an early move on the Under betting this down to 42 from the 43.5 opener at his shop. He said he’ll likely see plenty of 49′ers bets come Sunday and books are excited because it should bring an increased handle in sportsbooks throughout the desert with a team so close to Vegas playing in such a big game.

My local NYC bookie source opened this at 3 and was bet down to 2.5 within 45 minutes of opening the line. He said Giants support was strong at and 3 he said even casual bettors will be all over the Giants here in NYC on Sunday. He said local books in the NYC metro area will likely be exposed and rooting for the 49′ers. He caught a wind of under money as well moving this down to 42 from the 43.5 opener.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one this year in the NFL as one of the hottest and consistent NFL handicappers in America. I have a (57%) record this year! I was 8-3 (73%) in the Playoffs Last year. Dating back to last year in the playoffs, preseason, and this regular season I’m 64-39-2 (62%) winners my L/105 NFL bets! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side in the playoffs as to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

New Orleans @ San Francisco (+3.5, O/U 47)
On the Vegas strip there has been no early movement on the side of this game at 3.5 but he said he expects the betting public to be on the Saints heavily come game day. He said it’s very likely books across the desert will be rooting in the 49′ers come game day because of heavy exposure on New Orleans. He said he has seen some sharp money come in on the dog. Others may wait before kick off to see if a better number is available with such heavy anticipated public money on the Saints. Slight early move toward the Under betting this down from 47.5 to 47. Here in NYC in our local bookie scene this opened 49′ers +3.5 with adjusted -120 vig. Books expected sharps all over the 49′ers and expected to move this game to 3. The vig has actually dropped -110 and things aren’t looking like they will hit 3 anytime soon they tell me. They also will need the 49′ers. Same exact story on the total.

Denver @ New England (-13.5, O/U 50)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact has seen no movement on the side as it sits quietly at 13.5. He did say sharps made an early move toward the under betting this down from the opener of 51 to 50. Sharps will bet the under knee jerk early in the week in cities that are prone to bad weather. They can always buy off on game day if the weather looks good. Same exact story here in the underground NYC scene with the side and total.

Houston @ Baltimore (-9, O/U 36.5)
Nothing to report here on this game. My Vegas contact did tell me he opened at 7.5 and expects Baltimore to be a popular play when it comes to teasers. If you see this adjust to 9 it means books are taking themselves out of the teaser window he said. He said he hasn’t taken any moves on the total either which he opened up at 36. Books here in the local NYC scene have the Texans at +9 with adjusted -125 vig to bet them. My local bookie source said books aren’t playing around and want to keep Baltimore out of the teaser window and likely will not come off of 9. The total is sitting at 36.5 with no movement to report.

NY Giants @ Green Bay (-9, O/U 52.5)
My Vegas contact opened this at 8 and took some Giants support and has moved down to 7.5 come press time. He said the strongest move he has seen was on Thursday as weather reports seem to be clear for Green Bay he started taking bets on the over. He said he opened at 52 and has been bet up to 53.5 already as sharps maybe thinking this one turns into a shootout. According to my local bookie source they opened at 9 to keep the Packers out of the teaser window. They have taken some early Giants money and adjusted the vig on that 9 up to -130. They said they may come off of 9 by game day. Given our proximity here in New York there will be plenty of recreational bettors on the Giants. If sharps back the Giants too he said it’s very likely they maybe rooting for the Packers on Sunday. The total was bet up half a tick from 52 to 52.5.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one this year in the NFL as one of the hottest and consistent NFL handicappers in America. I have a (57%) record this year! I was 8-3 (73%) in the Playoffs Last year. Dating back to last year in the playoffs, preseason, and this regular season I’m 62-39-2 (61%) winners my L/103 NFL bets! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side in the playoffs as to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this year as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Alabama vs LSU (+2.5, O/U 40)
On the Vegas Strip according to my Oddsmaker source he opened LSU-2 back in early December. After one week of early wagers from sharp bettors he was at a PK with support coming in on Bama. Remember recreational bettors weren’t betting this game back in early December. Alabama money from sharps has continued to flow in moving them from a +2 dog in early December to a -2 favorite on the morning of game day. They opened as a +100 dog and now are a -135 favorite. He said the total has been bet up a half of tick from the 39.5 opener to 40.

Here in the New York City underground local book scene I spoke with my bookie source and LSU opened as a 1 point favorite in early December. Within four days of the opening number he said both teams reversed roles as sharps sided with Alabama and they were the new favorite laying 1 point. As of the morning of game day Alabama is now a 2.5 point favorite. They opened as a -105 dog and now are a -135 favorite. The total opened at 39 hit as high as 40 before being bet down to 39 come game day.

My team and I here in NYC are looking to close out the College Football season with a bang tonight on this game! I’ve won 59% of my last 54 NCAA-FB wagers and 8 of our last 10 bets (80%) in all sports the last two days. Pick up my 5* BCS Title Game winner right here on the site or by calling me at the office at (757) 462-9030.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

Cincinnati @ Houston (-3, O/U 38.5)
Out on the Vegas strip this opened with Houston laying 3 with a normal -110 vig but some early money did come on Houston forcing the adjustment on the vig up to -120 to bet Houston. It would take a lot of money according to my Vegas oddsmaker contact to move this off they key number of 3. No moves on the total to report. Here on the New York betting scene bookies anticipated early money on the dog so the Bengals opened at +3 with a -115 vig to bet them. The early money came in on Houston moving the Texans to -3 with an adjusted vig of -125 to bet them. The total has been bet up half a tick from 38 to 38.5.

Detroit @ New Orleans (-10.5, O/U 59)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact opened this up at 10.5 and hit 11 for a little bit before seeing some buy back and moving back down to 10.5. He said books opening the Saints this high has helped balance the action and keep the Saints out of the teaser window. The total opened at 59 and hit 59.5 before settling back at 59 before press time. Here on the local NYC scene this # has fluctuated between 11 and 10.5 all week. No movement on the total set at 58.5.

Atlanta @ NY Giants (-3, O/U 47.5)
Nothing at all to report from the desert on this game with the side or total. Here in New York books anticipate plenty of recreational bettor action on the Giants and sharps on the dog. They opened the Falcons at +3 -115 vig and it has been moved up to Falcons+3 -120 vig. It will take a good amount of cash to move this off of the key # of 3. Nothing early to report on the total.

Pittsburgh @ Denver (-9, O/U 33.5)
The Steelers opened -8 and have moved up to -8.5 out on the Vegas Strip. My Las Vegas oddsmaker source said he expects the Steelers money to flow in on game day out on the Vegas strip as the most popular recreational bet of the weekend. So if you like Pittsburgh bet them early. If you like Denver wait before kick off to get a better number. He reported the under saw a strong move getting bet down from 34.5 to 33.5. Books here in the NYC scene protected themselves keeping the Steelers out of the teaser window by opening them at -9. Strong move toward the under which was bet down from 35 to 33.5.

Sometimes I agree with these early moves and sometimes I don’t. One thing I can say in my opinion has been a strong one this year in the NFL as one of the hottest NFL handicappers in America. I have a (57%) record this year! I was 8-3 (73%) in the Playoffs Last year. Dating back to last year in the playoffs, preseason, and this regular season I’m 61-38-2 (62%) winners my L/101 NFL bets! It’s good to have a guy like me by your side in the playoffs as to help utilize my contacts to make us money on some diamonds in the rough. Hop on board with me this year as I look to exploit the marketplace with the help of my contacts. You can pick up my plays right here on the site or by calling me directly at the office at (757) 462-9030

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Tuesday January 3
Sugar Bowl
Michigan vs Virginia Tech (+3, O/U 52)
Out in the desert this opened at Michigan laying 1 and money came in quickly on the Wolverines moving them up to a field goal favorite. Nothing to report on the total. Here on the NYC underground scene Michigan opened as 2.5 point favorite. That number stuck around for about 3 weeks before a couple of days ago finally moving to 3. Nothing to report on the total.

Wednesday January 4
Orange Bowl
West Virginia vs Clemson (-3. O/U 61)
According to my Las Vegas bookie source Clemson opened as a 3 point favorite and initially moved up to 3.5 before seeing resistance where sharps bought back on West Virginia moving this back down to 3. The total has been bet up from 60 to 61. According to my local NYC bookie source Clemson opened as a 3.5 point dog where sharp money came in and scooped up the hook moving this down to 3.The total was bet down a half of tick from 61 to 60.5.

Friday January 6
Cotton Bowl
Kansas State vs Arkansas (-8, O/U 63)
My Vegas oddsmaker source opened this with Arkansas laying 7.5 it moved up to 8 before settling back at 7.5. The total saw support on the under early being bet down from 64 to 63. No movement on the side according to my local NYC contact but same exact story on the total moving down from 64 to 63,

We’re looking for a strong weekend of bowl games ahead us! I’m on a 28-20-2 (58%) NCAA-FB run . Over the last 5 years I’ve been as consistent as they come in the Bowl games winning 61% of my bets with a 55-34 record! You can get all my bowl bets for one low price by purchasing my bowl pass package or buying games individually right here on the site or by calling me at the office at (757) 462-9030.

I always preach to pay attention to opening numbers. If you want to win like as sharp you have to think like a sharp I always say. Remember sharps aka professional bettors bet early in the week into opening numbers to get themselves the best value possible.

Remember squares aka the general betting public usually wait to place their bets until gameday before kick off. So any early moves you see during the beginning of the week is sharp money.

It’s important to realize that every early sharp move isn’t them holding on to that position. Sometime it’s head fake money which is sharps moving a line in order to get a more favorable number on game day betting the other side.

Friday December 30
Armed Forces Bowl
Tulsa vs Brigham Young (+1, O/U 56.5)
Brigham Young opened a 2.5 point favorite on the Vegas strip and was bet up to 3 before sharp money came in strong on Tulsa moving Tulsa all the way to a 1 point favorite come press time. The total opened at 55.5 and was bet up to 56. According to my local NYC bookie source BYU opened a 3 point favorite and it was strictly dog money early moving Tulsa to a 1 point favorite. The total has been bet up from a 55.5 opener to 56.5.

Pinstripe Bowl
Rutgers vs Iowa St (+1, O/U 44.5)
According to my Vegas oddsmaker source Rutgers opened as a 2 point favorite and dog money came in moving this to Pick Em come press time. Total was bet down a half of tick 45 to 44.5. Here in the NYC underground scene Rutgers opened as a 1.5 point favorite and now are a 1 point favorite come press time. Same exact story on the total.

Music City Bowl
Wake Forest vs Mississippi State (-6.5, O/U 48)
My Las Vegas bookmaker source opened Mississippi State as a 6.5 point favorite they were bet up to 7 before seeing resistance. Money came in on Wake Forest moving this off of 7 back down to 6.5. Nothing to report on the total. Here in NYC according to my local contact this opened at 7 and was bet down to 6.5. The total was bet down a half of tick from 48 to 47.5.

Insight Bowl
Iowa vs Oklahoma (-13.5, O/U 57.5)
Out on the Vegas strip this line opened at 16 and sharps voiced their opinion feeling Oklahoma wouldn’t be motivated to be here betting this down to 13.5. Nothing to report on the total. Here on the local NYC underground scene local books weren’t so generous and opened this at 14 and it was bet down slightly to 13.5. The total was bet down a half of tick from 58 to 57.5.

Saturday December 31
Meineke Car Care of Texas Bowl
Texas A&M vs Northwestern (+10, O/U 68)
Nothing to report from the desert on the side at the key # of 10 but the total was bet up from the 65 opener to 68. Same story with nothing to report on the side but the total was bet up from 64.5 to 68.

Sun Bowl
Utah vs Georgia Tech (-2.5, O/U 50)
Out in the desert support came in on Utah when they were a 3 point dog moving off the key # down to 2.5. Nothing to report on the total. Same exact story here in NYC according to my local bookie contact but the total was bet down from 51 to 50.

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
UCLA vs Illinois (-3, O/U 46.5)
My Vegas oddsmaker contact said he took a little UCLA money at first moving this off of 3 down to 2.5 but has since settled back at 3 come press time. No movement on the total. Same exact story here in the NYC local scene.

Liberty Bowl
Cincinnati vs Vanderbilt (-1.5, O/U 48.5)
This line has been all over the place in the desert. Vanderbilt opened a 2.5 point favorite and hit as high as a 3 point favorite before being bet down to a 2 point favorite come press time. The total has been bet up a half of tick from the 48 opener to 48.5. A little different story here in the local NYC betting scene. Vanderbilt opened a 3 point favorite and money came in on the dog moving this down to 1.5 come press time. The total has been bet down from the 49.5 opener to 48.5.

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Virginia vs Auburn (-3, O/U 48.5)
This opened at a PK at my Vegas oddsmaker contacts shop and the money came in quick on Auburn moving them to a 3 point favorite. Nothing to report on the total. This opened with Auburn a 1.5 point favorite here on the local NYC scene and quickly moved up to 3. Total bet down a half of tick from 49 to 48.5.

We’re looking for a strong weekend of bowl games ahead us! I’m on a 21-14-2 (60%) NCAA-FB run . Over the last 5 years I’ve been as consistent as they come in the Bowl games winning 61% of my bets with a 55-34 record! You can get all my bowl bets for one low price by purchasing my bowl pass package or buying games individually right here on the site or by calling me at the office at (757) 462-9030.